Purdue vs Alabama Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's College Basketball Game

Defense will tell the story in this matchup between two ranked schools.

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst
Nov 13, 2025 • 09:28 ET • 4 min read

NCAAB

Match starts: 7 hrs
ALA
65 %
PUR
35 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
u175.5 (-110)
Read Analysis
Purdue Boilermakers guard Braden Smith (3) drives with the ball against Oakland Golden Grizzlies guard Nassim Mashhour (0) during the second half at Mackey Arena.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Purdue Boilermakers guard Braden Smith (3) drives with the ball against Oakland Golden Grizzlies guard Nassim Mashhour (0) during the second half at Mackey Arena.

We’re in for a Thursday night treat when the No. 2 Purdue Boilermakers visit Coleman Coliseum and the No. 8 Alabama Crimson Tide.

This matchup features several solid offensive weapons, but my Purdue vs. Alabama predictions expect both groups to flex their defensive muscles. 

Read on as I share my college basketball picks for Thursday, November 13.

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Purdue vs Alabama prediction

Purdue vs Alabama best bet: Under 175.5 (-110)

We’re in for a Top 10 battle tonight when the Purdue Boilermakers visit the Alabama Crimson Tide

The Boilermakers play at a snail's pace and shoot an enormous amount of triples, while the Crimson Tide plays at the second-fastest pace and looks to score inside the arc. 

That contrasting style should drastically reduce the number of possessions tonight because both defenses are solid at limiting scoring opportunities and taking away offensive strengths. 

Alabama’s defense is solid, allowing only 35% shooting from downtown, which should challenge a Purdue group heavily reliant on the triple.

Purdue’s defensive efficiency is still Top 50 at KenPom, and the return of Trey Kaufman-Ren should help stymie a Crimson Tide group getting 53.6% of its production from inside the arc.

Purdue vs Alabama same-game parlay

Purdue guard Braden Smith is the Boilermakers' engine. He averaged 15.8 ppg last season and is coming off a 20-point game against Oakland. 

Purdue returns four starters from a Sweet 16 team. It has depth and experience in playing together. Alabama isn’t quite there yet.

Purdue vs Alabama SGP

  • Under 175.5
  • Braden Smith Over 15.5 points
  • Purdue +4

Our beyond the arc SGP: Under thunder

Kaufman-Renn is nursing a sore back and missed the previous two games. His minutes will likely be restricted, and he faces an Alabama defense boasting a 48.5% effective field goal percentage. 

Purdue vs Alabama SGP

  • Under 175.5
  • Braden Smith Over 15.5 points
  • Purdue +4
  • Trey Kaufman-Renn Under 19.5 points

Purdue vs Alabama odds

  • Spread: Purdue +3.5 | Alabama -3.5
  • Moneyline: Purdue +150 | Alabama -180
  • Over/Under: Over 173.5 | Under 173.5

Purdue vs Alabama betting trend to know

Purdue has hit the game total Under in seven of their last 10 away games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI). Find more college basketball betting trends for Purdue vs. Alabama.

How to watch Purdue vs Alabama

Location Coleman Coliseum, Tuscaloosa, AL
Date Thursday, November 13, 2025
Tip-off 7:00 p.m. ET
TV ESPN2

Purdue vs Alabama key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe, and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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