The Michigan Wolverines have won the Big Ten, and a road win against the Iowa Hawkeyes tonight could secure a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament.
My Michigan vs. Iowa predictions and college basketball picks recognize that likelihood, partly because the Wolverines should speed up the Hawkeyes on Thursday, March 5.
Michigan vs Iowa prediction
Michigan vs Iowa best bet: Over 145.5 (-110)
The Michigan Wolverines play at the fastest tempo in the Big Ten, while the Iowa Hawkeyes operate at the second-slowest pace, anchored by the conference’s slowest offense.
All dynamics here suggest an Over. Slow teams are always more likely to be sped up than fast teams are to be slowed down, and the Hawkeyes’ offense already depends on efficiency to succeed.
More possessions will create more success tonight.
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Michigan vs Iowa same-game parlay
Iowa big man Alvaro Folgueiras hasn’t made multiple 3-pointers in any of his last nine games, but including this prop in a same-game parlay with an Under 145.5 inflates the payout more than it should.
Michigan vs Iowa SGP
- Over 145.5
- Michigan moneyline
- Alvaro Folgueiras Under 1.5 threes
Our beyond the arc SGP: Michigan Men
While Folgueiras has managed only single digits in 10 of 15 contests in the last two months, Yaxel Lendeborg has scored at least 15 points in seven of his last 12 games.
Michigan vs Iowa SGP
- Over 145.5
- Michigan -8.5
- Alvaro Folgueiras Under 1.5 threes
- Alvaro Folgueiras Under 9.5 points
- Yaxel Lendeborg Over 14.5 points
Michigan vs Iowa odds
- Spread: Michigan -8.5 (-110) | Iowa +8.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Michigan -400 | Iowa +320
- Over/Under: Over 145.5 (-110) | Under 145.5 (-110)
Michigan vs Iowa betting trend to know
Michigan has covered the spread in six of its last nine games (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI). Find more college basketball betting trends for Michigan vs. Iowa.
How to watch Michigan vs Iowa
| Location | Carver-Hawkeye Arena, Iowa City, IA |
| Date | Thursday, March 5, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Peacock |
Michigan vs Iowa key injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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