The Connecticut Huskies will look to solidify their position as the favorites to win the national title as they take on the Miami Hurricanes in the Final Four at NRG Stadium in Houston on Saturday.
This matchup offers plenty of opportunities for bettors to make same-game parlays based on what we’ve already seen in the NCAA Tournament. We’ll be mining for the best SGP March Madness betting picks for the Connecticut vs. Miami Final Four matchup below.
If you’re looking for more Final Four coverage, be sure to read Rohit Ponnaiya’s Miami vs. Connecticut picks, which covers the best bets you can make for this semifinal clash.
Miami vs UConn same-game parlay picks
- Connecticut -5.5 points + Under 149.5 points + Adama Sanogo 15+ points (+350)
- Sanogo 25+ PRA + Hawkins 20+ PRA + Pack 2+ 3-pointers (+310)
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Parlay Pick 1
Connecticut -5.5 points + Under 149.5 points + Adama Sanogo 15+ points (+350 at BetMGM)
The UConn Huskies are now the clear team to beat in the NCAA Tournament. Connecticut has yet to lose a game this year to a team outside of the Big East, and has some incredibly impressive wins on its resume, including a 15-point win over the Alabama Crimson Tide on a neutral court back in November.
None of the other three teams in the Final Four can compete with that record, including Miami Hurricanes. The 'Canes have been excellent during the tournament, but they have at least been challenged by the likes of the Texas Longhorns and the Drake Bulldogs. Meanwhile, UConn has yet to play a tournament game that’s been decided by fewer than 15 points.
Connecticut came into the tournament as one of the top teams in the country according to nearly every advanced metric. After their performance the last two weekends, KenPom.com now lists the Huskies as the best team in the country, bar none. UConn is a massive favorite to win the title, and that should start with a comfortable win over Miami that easily covers the 5.5-point spread.
This game should also be reasonably low-scoring. While Miami and Connecticut both boast efficient offenses, neither plays at a particularly fast pace. The Huskies have also showed how strong they are defensively, holding the Gonzaga Bulldogs — possibly the best offensive team in the nation — to just 54 points in the Elite Eight.
That has me looking for another relatively low-scoring game on Saturday. Miami has played to big totals throughout much of the tournament, but teams that played slower and are defensive-minded, such as Drake, have been able to slow down the Hurricanes. If UConn has its way, this game will be played well Under 150 points.
To round out this parlay, we’ll throw in a relatively safe bet. Adama Sanogo has scored at least 15 points in four of his first five tournament games. As usual, the junior forward should be the centerpiece of the Connecticut offense. If the game goes to plan and the Huskies get the win, Sanogo will hit this mark with no problem.
Parlay Pick 2
Adama Sanogo 25+ points/rebounds/assists + Jordan Hawkins 20+ points/rebounds/assists + Nijel Pack 2+ three pointers (+310 at BetMGM)
For our second parlay, I’m going to focus entirely on player props for three of the key players in this matchup. All three of these guys should be able to hit the targets I’ve picked without much trouble, provided the game goes according to plan.
First, there’s Sanogo, who’s not only UConn’s leading scorer but also its best rebounder. Sanogo has hit a total of at least 26 between his points, rebounds, and assists in every game during the NCAA Tournament. Even when Gonzaga made a point of shutting him down and holding him to 10 points in the Elite Eight, Sanogo contributed by collecting 10 rebounds and dishing out six assists, the latter the most he’s accumulated all season.
The second part of Connecticut’s dynamic duo is sophomore guard Jordan Hawkins, who’s averaging 16.3 points per game. While his production isn’t quite as consistent as Sanogo’s, Hawkins has scored 20+ points in each of UConn’s last two games. If Miami does anything at all to slow Sanogo, which I fully expect them to do, Hawkins will pick up the slack and continue this level of production.
Finally, we need a little help from the Miami side of the equation. My pick is Hurricanes sharpshooter Nijel Pack, who’s hitting 39.8% of his shots from beyond the arc.
Pack has hit at least two shots from 3-point range in three of his four NCAA Tournament games, and has attempted at least four shots from deep in all but three games this year. If Miami falls behind, Pack should get the call to fire away from deep, and with enough attempts, there’s little doubt he’ll connect at least twice to hit this prop bet.
