The Florida Gators hope to end a six-game home losing streak to the Kentucky Wildcats when they meet on Saturday afternoon at the O’Connell Center.
The Gators have been one of the best teams in the country since the calendar flipped to 2026, and my Kentucky vs. Florida predictions focus on why their offense should put up plenty of points.
Find out more in my college basketball picks for February 14.
Kentucky vs Florida prediction
Kentucky vs Florida best bet: Florida team total Over 83.5 (-125)
The Florida Gators have one of the best frontcourts in college basketball, and their matchup with the Kentucky Wildcats is one that heavily favors them.
Since January 1, the Wildcats rank 265th in defensive rebound rate and 153rd in eFG% defense. The Gators are an elite offensive-rebounding unit, anchoring an offense that ranks second in SEC play in 2pt shooting accuracy.
Florida paces the SEC with 1.29 ppp in conference play, and it has scored 86 or more points in nine of the last 11 games.
The Gators will turn their offensive rebounding prowess into easy points.
Kentucky vs Florida same-game parlay
Rueben Chinyelu will be the biggest beneficiary of Florida’s interior mismatch. He averages 12.6 points at the O’Connell Center and 13.2 ppg in his five home SEC outings.
Chinyelu has also snagged at least four offensive rebounds in three straight games, leading to easy second-chance points.
Kentucky vs Florida SGP
- Florida team total Over 83.5
- Rueben Chinyelu Over 11.5 points
Our beyond the arc SGP: Gators Chomping on the Glass!
Chinyelu has been an unstoppable force on the glass, with double-digit defensive rebounds in four of his last five games.
Kentucky’s road SEC eFG% is just 54%, and Chinyelu's 34.5% defensive rebound rate in SEC play will see him go crazy on the glass.
Alex Condon has 5+ defensive rebounds in five straight games, boasting an 18.1% defensive rebound rate in SEC play. He should also get a few boards at the offensive end to help pad his stats.
Kentucky vs Florida SGP
- Florida team total Over 83.5
- Rueben Chinyelu Over 11.5 points
- Rueben Chinyelu Over 12.5 rebounds
- Alex Condon Over 7.5 rebounds
Kentucky vs Florida odds
- Spread: Kentucky +11 (-110) | Florida -11 (-110)
- Moneyline: Kentucky +637 | Florida -950
- Over/Under: Over 152.5 (-110) | Under 152.5 (-110)
Kentucky vs Florida betting trend to know
Florida has covered the spread in nine of its last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 72% ROI). Find more college basketball betting trends for Kentucky vs. Florida.
How to watch Kentucky vs Florida
| Location | Stephen C. O'Connell Center, Gainesville, FL |
| Date | Saturday, February 14, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 3:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ABC |
Kentucky vs Florida key injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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