UCF vs Arizona Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's Big 12 Tournament Game

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst 8+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 12, 2026 , 10:40 AM ET • 4 min read

Arizona shooting guard Brayden Burries has dropped at least 20 points in three of his last four games and should cook the UCF Knights in the Big 12 Tournament today, per our college basketball expert picks.

NCAAB

Match starts: 2 hrs
UCF
62 %
ARIZ
38 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Brayden Burries o17.5  Points (-115) Brayden Burries o17.5 Points (-115)
Read Analysis
Arizona Wildcats college basketball Brayden Burries
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Arizona Wildcats guard Brayden Burries lines up a shot.

The No. 8 seed UCF Knights face the No. 1 seed Arizona Wildcats in the quarterfinals of the Big 12 Conference Tournament today. 

Wildcats freshman Brayden Burries has been on fire, and my UCF vs. Arizona predictions expect him to torch a vulnerable Knights defense today.

Here are my college basketball picks for this clash on Thursday, March 12. 

UCF vs Arizona prediction

UCF vs Arizona best bet

UCF vs Arizona best bet: Brayden Burries Over 17.5 points (+100)

Despite a slow start to his college career, Brayden Burries now leads the Arizona Wildcats with 16.0 points per game. 

The five-star freshman has been more efficient lately, averaging 19.0 ppg on 50/40/82 shooting splits over his last 12 contests. He also dropped 18 points against the UCF Knights on the road when these teams previously clashed in January. 

The Knights play at a fast tempo and struggle defensively. They finished the regular season 125th in the country in adjusted defense while ranking 14th in conference play in opponent eFG% (54.6%).

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UCF vs Arizona same-game parlay

With Burries getting buckets, expect him to receive plenty of passes from Koa Peat from the post or on dribble handoffs. Peat has cleared 2.5 assists in five of his last six games. 

The Wildcats scored 84 points in the previous clash against UCF, despite playing on the road and going just 3-13 from deep. Their up-tempo attack will be even more productive today with the Knights tired after eking out an OT win against Cincinnati yesterday. 

UCF vs Arizona SGP

  • Brayden Burries Over 17.5 points
  • Koa Peat Over 2.5 assists
  • Arizona Team Total Over 88.5

Our beyond the arc SGP: Burries burns UCF

Burries has also been highly productive on the glass lately, grabbing 6+ boards in three straight games while averaging 8.3 rpg over that span. 

UCF vs Arizona SGP

  • Brayden Burries Over 17.5 points
  • Brayden Burries Over 5.5 rebounds
  • Koa Peat Over 2.5 assists
  • Arizona Team Total Over 88.5

UCF vs Arizona odds

  • Spread: UCF +16.5 | Arizona -16.5
  • Moneyline: UCF +1100 | Arizona -2200
  • Over/Under: Over 159.5 | Under 159.5

UCF vs Arizona betting trend to know

The Wildcats have gone Over their Team Total in 15 of their last 25 games (+3.55 Units / 12% ROI). Find more college basketball betting trends for UCF vs. Arizona.

How to watch UCF vs Arizona

Location T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, MO
Date Thursday, March 12, 2026
Tip-off 3:00 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

UCF vs Arizona key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

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