The No. 1 team in the country returns to the floor tonight as the Arizona Wildcats host the Kansas State Wildcats in Big 12 play.
It’s expected to be a shootout with a total of 170.5, which raises the question — which player props hold value given the sheer amount of points expected to be dropped at McKale Center?
See why my Kansas State vs. Arizona predictions and college basketball picks have landed on Abdi Bashir Jr.’s 3-pointer prop on Wednesday, January 7.
Kansas State vs Arizona prediction
Kansas State vs Arizona best bet: Abdi Bashir Jr. Over 2.5 made threes (-108)
It’s understandable why there’s such a high total in this contest. Both teams are plenty capable of prolific scoring outputs — Arizona averages 90.8 ppg, and Kansas State isn’t far behind at 87.4 ppg, and both push the pace (Arizona ranks 33rd in adjusted tempo, while Kansas State is 14th).
Both have trended to the Over with identical 8-6 O/U records thus far. The total is high enough at 170.5 that one must consider other options, which leads us to the player prop market.
Kansas State will try to keep up with Arizona’s scoring output via its usual method — attempting a bunch of threes.
Jerome Tang’s squad hits 10.3 triples per game, led by Monmouth transfer Abdi Bashir Jr. and his 3.7 made threes per game on a blistering 47.3%. If those numbers seem flukey, consider that he averaged 3.8 threes last year and has proven to be one of the best shooters in the sport.
Arizona is a difficult matchup on paper, allowing 6.9 made threes per game. There’s likely some noise in that data, however, as Tommy Lloyd’s defense has ranked outside the Top 250 in 3-pointers allowed per game in each of the previous four seasons.
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Kansas State vs Arizona same-game parlay
Big man Khamari McGriff commits 6.2 fouls per 36 minutes and is in danger of a shortened stint against an Arizona offense that attacks relentlessly and lives in the paint, making the second-most two-point shots per game (25.6).
Arizona should be able to score repeatedly against a bad Kansas State defense (100th in defensive efficiency per KenPom), especially if Tang opts for the four-guard lineup for much of the contest.
Kansas State vs Arizona SGP
- Abdi Bashir Jr. Over 2.5 made threes
- Khamari McGriff Under 8.5 points
- Arizona team total Over 94.5
Our beyond the arc SGP: K-State keeps it close
Kansas State has traveled well, ranking fourth in Haslametrics’ Away From Home metric. The resume includes a one-point loss to undefeated No. 10 Nebraska on a neutral court, a 21-point victory over Mississippi State on a neutral court, and a seven-point win at Creighton.
Kansas State vs Arizona SGP
- Abdi Bashir Jr. Over 2.5 made threes
- Khamari McGriff Under 8.5 points
- Arizona team total Over 94.5
- Kansas State +18.5
Kansas State vs Arizona odds
- Spread: Kansas State +18.5 | Arizona -18.5
- Moneyline: Kansas State +1400 | Arizona -4000
- Over/Under: Over 170.5 | Under 170.5
Kansas State vs Arizona betting trend to know
Abdi Bashir Jr. has made 3+ three-pointers in six consecutive games. Find more college basketball betting trends for Kansas State vs. Arizona.
How to watch Kansas State vs Arizona
| Location | McKale Memorial Center, Tucson, AZ |
| Date | Wednesday, January 7, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 9:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | FS1 |
Kansas State vs Arizona key injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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