Illinois vs UCLA Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's College Basketball Game

If any team is looking to have more respect put on their name then it's Illinois as they'll aim to emphasize that against the UCLA Bruins.

JD Yonke - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
JD Yonke • Betting Analyst
Feb 21, 2026 • 14:18 ET • 4 min read

NCAAB

Match starts: 4 hrs
ILL
63 %
UCLA
37 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
Illinois -6.5 (-116) Illinois -6.5 (-116)
Read Analysis
Keaton Wagler Illinois Fighting Illini NCAAB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Illinois Fighting Illini guard Keaton Wagler (23) dribbles the ball.

Since the two Los Angeles schools, USC and UCLA, joined the Big Ten, just one conference opponent has swept them during the LA road trip.

The No. 10 Illinois Illini look to become the second Big Ten team to accomplish that feat as they visit the UCLA Bruins at Pauley Pavilion in a game broadcast on FOX at 8:00 pm ET.

The Illini are playing like one of the top teams in the nation, so I’m backing them as the road favorite with my Illinois vs. UCLA predictions & college basketball picks for Saturday, February 21.

Illinois vs UCLA prediction

Illinois vs UCLA best bet: Illinois -6.5 (-116)

Illinois not only has the highest adjusted offensive efficiency in the country — it has the highest one in the history of the KenPom era. They’re far more talented and well-assembled than UCLA.

The Illini (16-11 ATS) are a top-5 team overall and pose a serious threat to cut down the nets as the calendar nears March. That puts them in a different tier than UCLA (10-16 ATS), a program in an even darker place after coach Mick Cronin’s mid-week blowup.

The Illini are 7-1 straight up on the road, covering the spread in six of those contests.

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Illinois vs UCLA same-game parlay

UCLA ranks 65th in adjusted defensive efficiency (BartTorvik) over the last month and stands little chance of nullifying Illinois’ Death Star offense. The Bruins are 13-7 O/U against the first half total in their last 20 games.

On the flip side, elite point guards have given the Illini defense some issues. Nick Boyd (25 points, five assists), Jeremy Fears (26 points, 15 assists), and Braden Smith (27 points, 12 assists) all had success against them recently, and all three of those games went Over the total. Enter Donovan Dent and his tremendous 38.3% assist rate.

Illinois vs UCLA SGP

  • Illinois -6.5
  • Over 146
  • Over 69 in the first half

Our beyond the arc SGP: Wagler leads Fighting Illini

Keaton Wagler leads a potent Illinois offense against an overmatched UCLA defense, while Donovan Dent and Tyler Bilodeau execute the pick and pop on the other end.

Illinois vs UCLA SGP

  • Illinois -6.5
  • Keaton Wagler Over 4.5 assists
  • Donovan Dent Over 6.5 assists
  • Tyler Bilodeau Over 1.5 three-pointers

Illinois vs UCLA odds

  • Spread: Illinois -6.5 (-110) | UCLA +6.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Illinois -290 | UCLA +235
  • Over/Under: Over 146.5 (-110) | Under 146.5 (-110)

Illinois vs UCLA betting trend to know

UCLA is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games against Big Ten opponents. Find more college basketball betting trends for Illinois vs. UCLA.

How to watch Illinois vs UCLA

Location Pauley Pavilion, Los Angeles, CA
Date Saturday, February 21, 2026
Tip-off 8:00 p.m. ET
TV FOX

Illinois vs UCLA key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

JD is a diehard college football fan with five years of experience writing betting and fantasy content for publications such as SportsGrid, Fantasy Points, Fantrax, and Devy Watch. An avid reader, he uses his inclination to look at things with an exhausting and in-depth, analytic viewpoint combined with a love for statistics and metrics to form a well-rounded handicapping approach.

e's an integral member of the niche (but growing!) college fantasy football community, twice traveling to Canton, OH for the Fantasy Football Expo as a member of the CFF King's Classic drafting squad. His specialization in college football DFS and prop betting taught him that there are exploitable markets to be found and that narrowing your focus is integral to being a profitable bettor.

A lifelong Californian who grew up playing baseball, basketball, football, and lacrosse, he's glad to share a passionate love for sports with this wonderful community.

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