Two NL West ballclubs, fresh off a sweep, meet for a weekend series as the Los Angeles Dodgers travel to Petco to face the San Diego Padres.
L.A. is the favorite (-133) and possesses a nine-game lead in the division, and my Dodgers vs. Padres predictions think the price might be short.
See my full MLB picks below for Friday, June 26.
Who will win Dodgers vs Padres today: Dodgers (-137)
The standings show that only nine games separate the Los Angeles Dodgers from the San Diego Padres.
This short line is influenced by the standings, which fail to mention that L.A. has a +144 run differential while San Diego lags behind at -5.
The Padres have been one of the most fortunate teams in the league, so I’m fading them and quantifying them as an overvalued asset. Their 37-42 BaseRuns record indicates they really could be five wins worse off.
Walker Buehler (15th percentile xBA, 12th percentile whiff rate), similarly, has been lucky.
COVERS INTEL: Roki Sasaki has stepped up a level, posting the eighth-best Stuff+ (113) among starters in his last six outings. His patented splitter should play nicely against a Padres lineup with -3.58 runs above average per 100 splitters seen — the worst mark in the league.
Dodgers vs Padres Over/Under pick: Under 7.5 (-105)
Since May 18, San Diego has ranked dead last in AVG (.216), and second-last in OPS (.652) and runs scored per game (3.5).
While Buehler’s underlying metrics are somewhat questionable, the on-field results are not. He’s allowed just a single run in each of his last four starts.
Buehler rarely has an off day, surrendering no more than three earned runs in any of his last eight starts, and no more than four earned in any of his 15 starts this season.
Both bullpens have an ERA below 3.00 across the last 14 days and are fully rested.
- ML/RL bets: 23-22, -3.08 units
- Over/Under bets: 32-14 +17.40 units
Dodgers vs Padres weather
Partly sunny with winds at 9 mph.
Dodgers vs Padres odds
- Moneyline: Dodgers -148 | Padres +123
- Run line: Dodgers -1.5 (+119) | Padres +1.5 (-144)
- Over/Under: Over 7.5 | Under 7.5
Dodgers vs Padres trend
The Dodgers have won 13 of their last 18 road games against the Padres. Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Padres. Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Padres.
How to watch Dodgers vs Padres and game info
| Location | Petco Park, San Diego, CA |
| Date | Friday, June 26, 2026 |
| First pitch | 9:45 p.m. ET |
| TV | Apple TV |
| Dodgers starting pitcher | Roki Sasaki (3-4, 4.77 ERA) |
| Padres starting pitcher | Walker Buehler (4-3, 3.96 ERA) |
Dodgers vs Padres latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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