Gonzaga vs Saint Mary's Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's College Basketball Game

The last eight matchups between the Zags and Gaels have gone under the total, and we’re expecting another grind-it-out battle between these WCC powerhouses tonight.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Feb 28, 2026 • 15:46 ET • 4 min read

NCAAB

Match starts: 5 hrs
GONZ
51 %
SMC
49 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
u144.0 (-110)
Read Analysis
College basketball Gonzaga Bulldogs Tyon Grant-Foster Saint Mary's Gaels Paulius Murauskas
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Gonzaga Bulldogs forward Tyon Grant-Foster battles against Saint Mary's Gaels forward Paulius Murauskas.

Saturday's action wraps up with a showdown between the top two teams in the West Coast Conference, as the Saint Mary's Gaels host the No. 9 Gonzaga Bulldogs.

The Zags defeated the Gaels 73-65 in Spokane a month ago, and my Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary's predictions point to another low-scoring affair. 

Here are my top free college basketball picks for Saturday, February 28.

Gonzaga vs Saint Mary's prediction

Gonzaga vs Saint Mary's best bet: Under 144 (-110)

Gonzaga shoots just 31.9% from deep in league play and attempts threes at one of the lowest rates in the country.

The Bulldogs rely on scoring inside, which will be challenging against Saint Mary’s, who have allowed just 63.5 points per game while holding opponents to 44.5% on two-pointers over their last 12 contests. The Gaels play at a slow pace and rank 20th nationally in adjusted defense.

Defensively, the Zags have been strong as well, ranking 12th in adjusted defense and sitting in the top 20 in opponent eFG% (46.4%) and opponent turnover rate.

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Gonzaga vs Saint Mary's same-game parlay

The Gaels are fourth in the country in rebounding rate and will need to dominate the boards to secure a win. Forward Paulius Murauskas is their standout player, pulling down 8+ rebounds in five of his last six contests and averaging 10 rebounds per game during that span.

Even with Braden Huff sidelined by a knee injury, forward Tyon Grant-Foster hasn’t increased his offensive production. He’s scored fewer than 10.5 points in nine of his last 14 games and was limited to just five points in the previous matchup.

Gonzaga vs Saint Mary's SGP

  • Under 144
  • Paulius Murauskas Over 7.5 rebounds
  • Tyon Grant-Foster Under 10.5 points

Our beyond the arc SGP: Gaels Grind Out Win

This is a revenge spot for the Gaels, who fell to Gonzaga last month but are 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.

The game was closer than the final score indicates, with Graham Ike leading the Zags’ comeback with 30 points. Unless he posts another standout performance, Saint Mary’s has a shot at an upset. 

Gonzaga vs Saint Mary's SGP

  • Under 144
  • Paulius Murauskas Over 7.5 rebounds
  • Tyon Grant-Foster Under 10.5 points
  • Saint Mary's moneyline

Gonzaga vs Saint Mary's odds

  • Spread: Gonzaga -2 (-105) | Saint Mary's +2 (-115)
  • Moneyline: Gonzaga -135 | Saint Mary's +115
  • Over/Under: Over 144 (-110) | Under 144 (-110)

Gonzaga vs Saint Mary's betting trend to know

The Under is 8-0 in the last eight meetings between these conference rivals. Find more college basketball betting trends for Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary's.

How to watch Gonzaga vs Saint Mary's

Location University Credit Union Pavilion, Moraga, CA
Date Saturday, February 28, 2026
Tip-off 10:30 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

Gonzaga vs Saint Mary's key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

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