Magic vs Pistons Prediction, Picks & Odds for Wednesday's NBA Playoffs Game 5

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst 18+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 28, 2026 , 02:40 PM ET • 4 min read

Farmer's Prediction: The effects of Cade Cunningham's collapsed lung will linger.

Cade Cunningham Detroit Pistons NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Cade Cunningham has driven into the paint less and less against the Magic in this first-round series.

Could the Eastern Conference No. 1 seed fail to make it out of the first round? At this point, expect as much from the Detroit Pistons, and give plenty of credit to the Orlando Magic for forcing such an issue.

My Magic vs. Pistons predictions and NBA picks give credit to Orlando’s defense for how exhausted it has left Cade Cunningham, something that should continue in Game 5 on Wednesday, April 29.

Magic vs Pistons prediction

Magic vs Pistons best bet: Cade Cunningham Under 28.5 points (-120)

While this could certainly come across as insulting doubt in Detroit Pistons’ cornerstone Cade Cunningham, it is meant more as acknowledging reality.

Cunningham looked excellent in Game 1 against the Orlando Magic, playing more than 40 minutes and scoring 39 points, though Detroit still lost by double digits.

It was his first full workload since returning from a collapsed lung, playing 20-some minutes in the last three games of the regular season as he tried to get back up to speed.

But the reality is, missing three weeks because of a collapsed lung was undoubtedly going to impact Cunningham’s conditioning, and the physical nature of the Magic defense has exacerbated that.

Cunningham has shot 15-for-46 (32.6%) in the last two games, both Detroit losses. His 3-point shooting has fallen to 6 of 21 in those two games, 28.6%.

Realize, Cunningham shot 46.1% from the field and 34.6% from deep in the regular season before his injury.

While he may not yet be an efficient scorer, he is far better than the version of the last week. He is simply out of gas, as are the Pistons without Cunningham at his best.

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Magic vs Pistons same-game parlay

What is more exhausting, driving into the lane against a physical and long defense or chucking 3-pointers for much of the night? Based on his choices in the last two games, Cade Cunningham would rather live beyond the arc right now.

Before his collapsed lung, he took 30.8% of his field-goal attempts from deep. In this series, it has jumped to 38.0%. In the last two games, it has been an even more alarming 45.7%.

Cunningham should hit multiple 3-pointers simply because he is taking so many rather than getting to the rim, and that inefficient approach helps keep Orlando in every game.

Magic vs Pistons SGP

  • Cade Cunningham Under 28.5 points
  • Cade Cunningham Over 1.5 threes
  • Magic +9.5

Our "from downtown" SGP: Goodnight, Detroit

Orlando has already won on the road in this series. It has firm control, and it knows the best time to clinch the series is as soon as possible.

Given how suffocating the Magic defense has been — even the Pistons’ one win featured them scoring only 98 points — there is always value in a moneyline higher than +300.

Magic vs Pistons SGP

  • Cade Cunningham Under 28.5 Points
  • Cade Cunningham Over 1.5 3-Pointers
  • Magic moneyline

Magic vs Pistons odds for Game 5

  • Spread: Magic +9.5 | Pistons -9.5
  • Moneyline: Magic +310 | Pistons -390
  • Over/Under: Over 211 | Under 211

Magic vs Pistons betting trend to know

Detroit has fallen short of its team total in all four games of this series and by an average of 13.4 points per game. Find more NBA betting trends for Magic vs. Pistons.

How to watch Magic vs Pistons Game 5

Location Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI
Date Wednesday, April 29, 2026
Tip-off 7:00 p.m. ET
TV Prime Video

Magic vs Pistons latest injuries

Not intended for use in MA.
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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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