The Big East Tournament Presented by Jeep tips off from Madison Square Garden with a first-round game between the No. 9 Providence Friars and the No. 8 Butler Bulldogs.
Both regular-season meetings between these two teams were thrillers, ending only after double overtime, setting the stage for a wild start to the 44th iteration of this tournament.
I’m targeting the Under with my Providence vs. Butler predictions and college basketball picks for Wednesday, March 11.
Butler vs Providence prediction
Butler vs Providence best bet
Butler vs Providence best bet: Under 162.5 (-110)
The Butler Bulldogs and Providence Friars combined to average 203.5 total points during their two regular-season meetings. However, there’s one important caveat: both of those matchups went to double overtime.
This inflated total is an overreaction to the sheer number of points dropped in those matchups, but only 146 points were scored in regulation during the February 4 meeting.
Both squads played at a slower tempo than usual over the last month of the season, and the first round of this tournament was low-scoring a year ago — all three games cashed the Under while averaging just 134.7 combined points.
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Butler vs Providence same-game parlay
Providence informed Kim English that he will be let go at season’s end after accumulating a 47-51 record in three years as the head coach, so we’re dealing with a lame-duck coaching situation here.
Butler had a lot of down points this season, but that’s understandable given the numerous injuries. Leading scorer Finley Bizjack should exploit Providence’s poor defense (187th in adjusted efficiency) as he did in the regular season, averaging 28 points per game in those two contests.
The Friars allow a ton of threes (9.2 per game, 333rd nationally), and Bizjack is Butler’s primary sharpshooter.
Butler vs Providence SGP
- Butler moneyline
- Finley Bizjack Over 19.5 points
- Finley Bizjack Over 2.5 made threes
Our beyond the arc SGP: Focused on Finley
Butler’s most likely path to a win includes avoiding Providence’s offense from heating up and letting Bizjack slow cook on the other end.
Butler vs Providence SGP
- Under 162.5
- Butler moneyline
- Finley Bizjack Over 19.5 points
- Finley Bizjack Over 2.5 made threes
Butler vs Providence odds
- Spread: Butler +1.5 (-110) | Providence -1.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Butler -105 | Providence -115
- Over/Under: Over 162.5 (-110) | Under 162.5 (-110)
Butler vs Providence betting trend to know
Providence has hit the Under in each of its last three games with a total in the 160s. Find more college basketball betting trends for Butler vs. Providence.
How to watch Butler vs Providence
| Location | Madison Square Garden, New York, NY |
| Date | Wednesday, March 11, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 4:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Peacock |
Butler vs Providence key injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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