Thanks to injuries to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jalen Williams, the Oklahoma City Thunder will be underdogs in back-to-back games for the first time this season when they visit the Toronto Raptors.
Toronto stunned OKC back in January, winning outright as 11-point road dogs, but can it get the job done when it’s favored?
My Thunder vs. Raptors predictions break down and bring you my best NBA picks for this matchup set to tip off at 7:30 pm ET at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, on Tuesday, February 24.
Thunder vs Raptors prediction
Thunder vs Raptors best bet: Scottie Barnes Double-Double (+135)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has missed the last seven games for the Oklahoma City Thunder, but because the roster is so deep, they still rank ninth in net rating over that span.
However, the Toronto Raptors pose a problem with their defensive versatility.
Plus, Scottie Barnes returns after the reported birth of his child, and he’ll have a chance to dominate the glass with OKC ranking 24th in rebounding rate, and Chet Holmgren is also banged up.
Barnes gives us Fred VanVleet-type performance, and with a rebounding total of 8.5, let’s back him to record his 25th double-double of the season at +135.
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Thunder vs Raptors same-game parlay
The other area where the Thunder struggle a bit is on the perimeter. They rank 25th in opponent 3-point shooting percentage and allow the third-most threes per game.
Immanuel Quickley is playing great ball, averaging 20.2 points per game and shooting a crazy good 48.3% from deep over his last 13 games. His point total for this one is 16.5, a number he’s eclipsed in 13 of his last 18 games.
The Raptors match up well with OKC when they’re healthy. Their defense, particularly on the perimeter, will give them a chance to win this game.
Thunder vs Raptors SGP
- Scottie Barnes double-double
- Immanuel Quickley Over 16.5 points
- Raptors moneyline
Our "from downtown" SGP: Fred VanVleet vibes
Fred VanVleet famously played incredibly after the birth of his child during the Raptors' title run in 2019. Let's back Scottie to do something similar here.
Thunder vs Raptors SGP
- Scottie Barnes Over 17.5 points
- Scottie Barnes Over 8.5 rebounds
- Scottie Barnes Over 4.5 assists
- Scottie Barnes Over 1.5 steals
Thunder vs Raptors odds
- Spread: Thunder +1.5 | Raptors -1.5
- Moneyline: Thunder +105 | Raptors -125
- Over/Under: Over 216.5 | Under 216.5
Thunder vs Raptors betting trend to know
The Raptors have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games for +12.20 Units and a 22% ROI. Find more NBA betting trends for Thunder vs. Raptors.
How to watch Thunder vs Raptors
| Location | Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON |
| Date | Tuesday, February 24, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | FDSN Oklahoma, TSN |
Thunder vs Raptors latest injuries
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