Our NBA player prop projections are all set for tonight's Game 2 matchup between the Phoenix Suns and Oklahoma City Thunder, with the model flagging several high-value opportunities.
By breaking down the data and stacking it up against current market lines, we’ve identified where the strongest edges lie.
These Suns vs. Thunder predictions aren’t based on feel — they’re backed by the numbers.
If you’re building out your card, here are the model’s top NBA picks for Wednesday, April 22.
Suns vs Thunder computer picks for Game 2
| Brooks u17.5 points -112 |
Gilgeous-Alexander o28.5 points -120 |
| Booker o4.5 assists +120 |
Dort o1.5 threes -120 |
| Green o2.5 threes +122 |
Hartenstein o8.5 rebounds +105 |
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Suns Game 2 computer picks
Dillon Brooks Under 17.5 points (-112)
Projection: 15.4 points
In terms of scoring efficiency, the Phoenix Suns have averaged just 102.6 points per game over their last five outings, the lowest mark in the league during that span.
On the other side, opposing starting power forwards have shot 46.3% from the field against the Oklahoma City Thunder this season, ranking among the toughest defensive matchups in the league. That combination sets up a challenging offensive environment for Dillon Brooks to produce at a high level.
Devin Booker Over 4.5 assists (+120)
Projection: 5.4 assists
Devin Booker has been consistently clearing his playmaking mark, going over 4.5 assists in eight of his last ten games, and that trend has strong staying power heading into tonight’s matchup against the Thunder.
Another factor is offensive balance. Even in games where Booker is scoring efficiently, Phoenix’s offense tends to run through him in key possessions late in quarters and after timeouts. Those structured sets consistently give him at least a handful of assist opportunities just by being the hub of decision-making.
Jalen Green Over 2.5 threes (+122)
Projection: 2.7 3-pointers
Jalen Green has been trending in and out from deep lately, clearing the 2.5 made threes line in four of his last ten games, and there’s still a workable path for him to hit that mark again tonight against OKC.
Green’s three-point volume is largely tied to how much defensive pressure he draws off the dribble. When he’s aggressive attacking the rim, defenses are forced to collapse, and that naturally opens up catch-and-shoot opportunities on the perimeter.
Even when his shot isn’t fully consistent night-to-night, his role as a primary perimeter scorer keeps the attempts flowing.
Thunder Game 2 computer picks
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 28.5 points (-120)
Projection: 31.9 points
The Thunder have been one of the league’s most explosive offenses this season, ranking fifth in scoring, and much of that success runs through Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who continues to anchor their attack night after night. That formula isn’t expected to change as OKC looks to take a 2-0 series lead tonight.
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Lu Dort Over 1.5 3-pointers (-120)
Projection: 1.6 3-pointers
The Thunder have been one of the league’s most aggressive perimeter offenses at home over their last 10 games, ranking fifth in three-point attempt rate, a setup that keeps Lu Dort in a strong position to capitalize from beyond the arc after hitting this 1.5 threes line in seven of his last ten games.
Isaiah Hartenstein Over 8.5 rebounds (+105)
Projection: 9.3 rebounds
Isaiah Hartenstein has been steady on the glass lately, clearing his 8.5 rebounds line in six of his last ten games, and that profile fits well heading into tonight’s matchup against the Suns.
A big part of Hartenstein’s rebound value comes from role and positioning. He consistently plays close to the rim, which naturally keeps him in range for defensive boards and put-backs.
Even when he isn’t the focal point offensively, his minutes are tied to controlling the paint—boxing out, anchoring possessions, and finishing defensive stops.
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How to watch Suns vs Thunder Game 2
| Location | Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK |
| Date | Wednesday, April 22, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 9:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Not intended for use in MA.
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