Best NBA Player Props Today for April 30: Lean on Murray

Ed Scimia - Contributor at Covers.com
Ed Scimia • Betting Analyst 17+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 30, 2026 , 01:59 PM ET • 4 min read

The Nuggets have had their backs against the wall, but may catch a break with Jamal Murray coming to the rescue as he headlines our top NBA player props for Thursday.

Jamal Murray Denver Nuggets NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Denver Nuggets guard Jamal Murray (27) shoots against the Minnesota Timberwolves in the third quarter.

Three teams will have the chance to advance to the second round of the playoffs in tonight’s NBA slate, with some great player props available in all three games.

My NBA predictions for tonight include seeing OG Anunoby and Payton Pritchard helping their teams finish off their opponents, while I also like Jamal Murray to help force a Game 7.

Read on below to see why I’m backing these player props and get my free NBA picks for Thursday, April 30.

Best NBA player props today

Player Pick bet365
Knicks OG Anunoby Over 7.5 rebounds -105
Celtics Payton Pritchard Over 4.5 assists +120
Nuggets Jamal Murray Over 38.5 points + rebounds + assists -110

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Prop #1: OG Anunoby Over 7.5 rebounds

-105 at bet365

The New York Knicks have regained control of their series against the Atlanta Hawks behind outstanding performances by Jalen Brunson and Karl-Anthony Towns. But OG Anunoby has also been key to New York’s success, averaging 20.0 points and 9.0 rebounds per game in the series.

So far, Anunoby hasn’t had fewer than eight rebounds in a game in the series, grabbing 10 in both Game 4 and Game 5. That’s way up from his regular season average (5.2 rebounds per game), but there are two good reasons for the increase.

First, Anunoby is playing more, getting 37.6 minutes per game in the series. The Hawks are also a relatively poor rebounding team, ranking 20th this season in rebound rate (49.0%). I expect Anunoby to keep crashing the boards as the Knicks likely put away this series tonight.

  • Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: ESPN

Prop #2: Payton Pritchard Over 4.5 assists

+120 at bet365

Payton Pritchard had a rough game shooting from deep in Game 5, going just 1-for-5 from beyond the arc in the Philadelphia 76ers 113-97 win over the Boston Celtics. Pritchard has been up-and-down in his scoring, averaging 15.0 ppg in the series with a high of 32 points and a low of just four.

One place where Pritchard has remained consistent, however, has been as a distributor. In four of the five games of this series, the Celtics guard has had 5+ assists, a reminder that he dished out an average of 5.2 assists per game during the regular season.

Pritchard will always be a key third option in the Boston offense, but with Jaylen Brown (25.8 ppg) and Jayson Tatum (24.6 ppg) both putting in strong performances, he’s going to do more work in a support

role than as a leading scorer. That role should continue in Game 6, which is why I’m taking Pritchard to hit his assists total again tonight.

  • Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: NBC, Peacock

Prop #3: Jamal Murray Over 38.5 points + rebounds + assists

-110 at bet365

While Nikola Jokic has been inconsistent – at least by his standards – in this series, Jamal Murray has been a constant force keeping the Denver Nuggets alive against the Minnesota Timberwolves. Over the first five games of the series, Murray is averaging 26.0 points, 6.0 assists, and 4.8 rebounds per game, and outside of a dip in Game 3, his numbers have been similar every night.

Murray and the rest of the Nuggets have a bit of a break for the remainder of the series, as Anthony Edwards (28.8 ppg in the regular season) is done after his knee injury in Game 4. And while it’s not as big a loss, the fact that Donte DiVincenzo is out with an Achilles injury won’t help Minnesota either.

Murray has put up 40+ PRA in three of the first five games of this series. I expect Denver to lean on him and Jokic heavily to make sure they can win the final two games of this series and keep their postseason run alive. In Murray’s case, that means another all-around performance that allows him to hit the Over on his PRA total.

  • Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: ESPN

These props are available now at bet365, one of our best betting sites.

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Ed Scimia - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Ed Scimia has been writing about the gaming industry for over 15 years. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in Magazine Journalism and Political Science in 2003, and has covered major gambling events like the World Series of Poker in his career. Since joining Covers in 2022, Ed has offered his sports betting analysis primarily on MLB, NFL, college football, and college basketball games, but is willing to take on any sport.

His betting strategy focuses more on finding line value based on deviations from the market rather than traditional handicapping, primarily shopping between DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics in his home state of Connecticut, though he’s not afraid to do deep game analysis to find profitable bets at any book.

Outside of gambling, Ed is an avid curler who competes in mixed doubles on the World Curling Tour and runs a popular curling YouTube channel, Chess on Ice. That experience has come in handy during the Olympics, when he has proven to be a successful curling bettor as well. 

Ed's advice to new bettors is to always open multiple sportsbook accounts and check the odds at each before placing any bet. Successful sports betting is about consistently beating the closing line value, which requires finding spots where one book is offering odds far better than the rest of the market and jumping on those opportunities.

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