Best NBA Player Props Today for February 28: LeBron Finds Passing Lanes vs Dubs

Eric Rosales' NBA prop picks have identified a key betting trend for LeBron James that can help cash a plus-money prop vs. the Warriors tonight, and much more.

Eric Rosales - Contributor at Covers.com
Eric Rosales • Betting Analyst
Feb 28, 2026 • 08:32 ET • 4 min read
LeBron James Lakers NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. LeBron James of the Los Angeles Lakers controls the ball.

There are five games on tap this Saturday night in the Association, and all eyes should be on Lakers vs. Warriors.

A LeBron James player prop tops my best NBA picks for Saturday, February 28.

Read below for all my favorite NBA player props.

Best NBA player props today

Player Pick bet365
Hornets Kon Knueppel Over 20.5 points -110
Heat Tyler Herro Over 20.5 points -105
Lakers LeBron James Over 5.5 assists +115

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Prop #1: Kon Knueppel Over 20.5 points

-110 at bet365

Rookie Kon Knueppel has been sizzling of late, scoring at least 21 points in each of his last four games, with Charlotte winning three straight.

This run started with a monster 33-point outing in a loss to the Cavaliers. Knueppel followed that up with 28 against the Wizards, before ripping Indiana for 28 points on 10-for-17 shooting last game.

Portland isn’t exactly a defensive juggernaut, ranking 24th in scoring defense allowing 118.2 points per game.

  • Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: KUNP, FDSN SE-CHA

Prop #2: Tyler Herro Over 20.5 points

-105 at bet365

Miami’s leading scorer Norman Powell is out for this one as he deals with a groin strain, but the Heat should be in good hands with Tyler Herro.

Just four games back from a rib injury, Herro seems to be picking up his pace. He shot 9-for-18 in a loss to Philadelphia en route to 25 points when last seen.

Houston is one of the tougher defensive teams in the league, allowing just 109.1 points per game (third overall), but Herro should be ready to carry a big-time scoring load in this one.

  • Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Prime Video

Prop #3: LeBron James Over 5.5 assists

+115 at bet365

We’ll wrap with the NBA’s ageless wonder, LeBron James, who has a 5.5-assist line on Saturday against the Warriors. 

While that number might deter you, as he’s only topped that total once in his last six games, LeBron has been dealing against the Dubs.

LBJ has had 10 straight games against the Warriors with at least eight assists, and I like the plus odds he’s getting Saturday to just get to six.

  • Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: ABC

These props are available now at bet365, one of our best betting sites.

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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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Eric Rosales - Covers
Betting Analyst

Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.

Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.

When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.

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