It’s a great night of NBA action, and not only because there are seven games full of player props for us to bet on.
Jayson Tatum makes his return to the Boston Celtics following his Achilles injury, but it’s a Boston big man I’m targeting in their matchup against the Dallas Mavericks, while Victor Wembanyama continues to cement his case for Defensive Player of the Year.
Find out more in my NBA picks for Friday, March 6.
Best NBA player props today
| Player | Pick |  |
|---|---|---|
 LaMelo Ball |
Over 3.5 threes | +105 |
 Neemias Queta |
Over 8.5 points | +100 |
 Victor Wembanyama |
Over 4.5 steals & blocks | +120 |
Prop #1: LaMelo Ball Over 3.5 threes
The buzz around the Charlotte Hornets is for real. With Brandon Miller, Kon Knueppel, and LaMelo Ball, they have become one of the deadliest 3-point shooting teams in the NBA.
While Miller and Knueppel are more natural shooters, Ball has always been a volume guy. Over his last 12 games, he’s shooting a modest 36.6% from deep, but when you’re taking 10.9 threes per game, that's four makes per contest.
That makes the Miami Heat a perfect matchup for LaMelo. The Heat don’t allow a high percentage, but because of their high pace of play, they allow the fourth-most 3-point attempts and rank 21st in makes per game.
Ball has hit four or more threes seven times during this 12-game stretch, and at plus money, I'll happily back him to do it again.
- Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: FanDuel Sports Network South, FanDuel Sports Network Southeast-Charlotte
Prop #2: Neemias Queta Over 8.5 points
The Boston Celtics host the Dallas Mavericks in a game that sees the return of Jayson Tatum and Cooper Flagg. But while those guys get the headlines, my favorite player prop in the matchup is backing a Boston big man.
Neemias Queta is having a breakout season for the Celtics, averaging 9.9 points and 8.2 rebounds per game. He faces a Mavericks team that ranks dead last in the NBA in opponent points in the paint per game.
Yet we are still getting a modest 8.5-point total for him here, with the Over at even money. It’s a number he’s topped in five of his last seven games, so sign me up.
- Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: ESPN
Prop #3: Victor Wembanyama Over 4.5 steals & blocks
Victor Wembanyama is the frontrunner when it comes to NBA Defensive Player of the Year odds, and his defensive talents will be on full display when the San Antonio Spurs visit the Los Angeles Clippers.
Wemby’s rare length allows him to protect the paint and block shots like no other. He is averaging 3.0 blocks per game this season, and he’s been an absolute block machine since coming out of the All-Star break, getting that number up to 4.6 over his last eight games.
Now, books have caught on, and Wemby’s blocks prop is at 3.5, with the Over nice and juiced. But his steals & blocks prop is just 4.5, a number he’s topped six times during that stretch, with the Over at plus money, and the Clippers own the NBA’s sixth-worst turnover rate.
- Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: ESPN
These props are available now at bet365, one of our best betting sites.
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