- UPDATE: Added a +950 SGP. + who will win prediction.
The Cleveland Cavaliers will put their undefeated home playoff record on the line against the Detroit Pistons in Game 4 tonight.
My Pistons vs. Cavaliers predictions expect Jarrett Allen to go at Jalen Duren tonight, en route to cashing the Over on his point total.
Let's dive in with my complete NBA picks for Monday, May 11.
Pistons vs Cavaliers Game 4 prediction today
Who will win Pistons vs Cavaliers Game 4?
Cavaliers: A playoff series hasn’t really started until the home team loses, and I don’t believe this series will start until at least Game 5. With Saturday’s 116-109 win over the Pistons, the Cavaliers are 5-0 at home in the playoffs, with a point differential of +47.
Pistons vs Cavaliers best bet: Jarrett Allen Over 12.5 points (-105)
Jarrett Allen has averaged 20 points over his last two games. He’s recorded 13+ in four of his last five, with the only exception being a two-point dud in Game 1 of the semifinals.
Allen has averaged 13.8 points across five home playoff games this season, and he’s gone for 13+ in two straight at Rocket Center.
The Cleveland Cavaliers' big man has found success against Detroit Pistons center Jalen Duren over the last three seasons.
In 11 career matchups with Duren, Allen has averaged 14.6 points. He scored 13+ in seven of those head-to-heads, including four of five at home.
COVERS INTEL: Allen averaged 17.8 points in 13 games post All-Star break, scoring 13+ points 11 times in that span.
Pistons vs Cavaliers Game 4 same-game parlay
Donovan Mitchell has scored 30+ points in back-to-back games. In five matchups with the Pistons, he’s averaged 30.8 points and scored 29+ four times. Mitchell has been a more potent scorer at home, and I expect him to come through in a big way as the Cavs look to even up the series.
The Cavaliers built momentum after a win in Game 3, and they can tie the series at two games apiece with a win in front of the home crowd. The home team has won five straight in this head-to-head, and Cleveland is 31-12 straight up as the home favorite this season.
Pistons vs Cavaliers SGP
- Jarrett Allen Over 12.5 points
- Donovan Mitchell Over 27.5 points
- Cavaliers moneyline
Our "from downtown" SGP: Big man blitz
Allen averaged 15.4 points and 8.5 rebounds during the regular season, bumping those numbers to 17.8 points and 9.2 rebounds after the All-Star Break.
In 11 head-to-head matchups with Duren, he’s gone for 8+ rebounds eight times, to go along with his impressive scoring output in those clashes. He’s recorded 13 points and eight rebounds together in four of five at home opposite Duren.
Tobias Harris has enjoyed a renaissance this postseason, and I expect another big showing in Game 4. Over his last eight, Harris has averaged 22.5 points and 7.5 boards, scoring 19+ in eight straight and corralling 7+ rebounds six times.
Pistons vs Cavaliers SGP
- Jarrett Allen Over 12.5 points
- Jarrett Allen Over 7.5 rebounds
- Tobias Harris Over 18.5 points
- Tobias Harris Over 6.5 rebounds
NBA betting tools
- NBA Championship odds
- NBA Finals MVP odds
- NBA player prop projections
- NBA picks
- Pistons vs Cavaliers SGP
Pistons vs Cavaliers odds for today's Game 4
- Spread: Pistons +3.5 (-110) | Cavaliers -3.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Pistons +140 | Cavaliers -165
- Over/Under: Over 213 (-110) | Under 213 (-110)
Pistons vs Cavaliers betting trend to know
The Cleveland Cavaliers have won five straight games at Rocket Arena. Find more NBA betting trends for Pistons vs. Cavaliers.
How to watch Pistons vs Cavaliers Game 4
| Location | Rocket Arena, Cleveland, OH |
| Date | Monday, May 11, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC |
Pistons vs Cavaliers latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
