The Dallas Mavericks visit the Boston Celtics on Sunday night for an Eastern Conference matchup at TD Garden. Our Mavericks vs. Celtics computer picks use Covers' player-prop projections to identify six opportunities, with three selections for each team.
Check out all of our NBA picks for more expert analysis and predictions ahead of tip-off on Nov. 15.
Mavericks vs Celtics computer picks
For help understanding Polymarket probabilities, see our odds calculator.
 Mavericks |
 Celtics |
|---|---|
| P.J. Washington Over 11.5 points 28% |
Jayson Tatum Over 6.5 rebounds 43% |
| Kyrie Irving Under 20.5 points 79% |
Paul George Under 19.5 points 53% |
| Cooper Flagg Under 22.5 points 74% |
Neemias Queta Under 7.5 rebounds 54% |
Percentages courtesy of Polymarket, one of our best prediction market apps.
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Mavericks computer picks
P.J. Washington Over 11.5 points (28%)
Projection: 12.41 points
P.J. Washington opens our Dallas Mavericks selections with a 12.41-point projection, nearly a full point above the 11.5-point threshold. Covers' model identifies a positive outlook on the Over, with a 13.76% expected-value edge on the original line. Polymarket's 28% Yes probability is a less enthusiastic assessment, but the projection still gives Washington a modest scoring cushion.
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Kyrie Irving Under 20.5 points (79%)
Projection: 19.02 points
Kyrie Irving comes in with a 19.02-point projection, below the 20.5-point Polymarket threshold. Polymarket's 79% No probability reflects a strong market lean toward the Under.
🏀Trade Kyrie Irving points UNDER now
Cooper Flagg Under 22.5 points (74%)
Projection: 20.85 points
Cooper Flagg gets a 20.85-point projection, 1.65 points below the 22.5-point threshold. Covers' model sees a 12.11% expected-value edge on the original Under 22.5 selection. Polymarket's 74% No probability supports that outlook, making this another reasonable way to target a lower-scoring night from a Mavericks player.
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Celtics computer picks
Jayson Tatum Over 6.5 rebounds (43%)
Projection: 7.39 rebounds
Jayson Tatum leads the Boston Celtics' selections with a 7.39-rebound projection, nearly one full board above the 6.5 line. The model expects Tatum to clear the threshold, although its expected-value edge is relatively modest. Polymarket's 43% Yes probability suggests the market is less convinced, leaving room for the projection to outperform the prevailing expectation.
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Paul George Under 19.5 points (53%)
Projection: 17.76 points
Paul George is projected for 17.76 points, 1.74 below the 19.5-point threshold. Covers' model assigns the Under an 18.67% expected-value edge, making this one of Boston's more attractive scoring projections.
🏀Trade Paul George points UNDER now
Neemias Queta Under 7.5 rebounds (54%)
Projection: 6.89 rebounds
Neemias Queta gets a 6.89-rebound projection, placing him 0.61 below the 7.5-rebound threshold. Covers' model identifies a 12.66% expected-value edge on the Under, while Polymarket gives the No side a 54% probability. It's not the largest gap on the board, but the projection and market both lean toward Queta finishing below eight rebounds.
🏀Trade Neemias Queta rebounds UNDER now
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