Nuggets vs Kings Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Allen's prediction: Nikola Jokic is turning up the heat in November, and he has a more than makeable points prop of 27.5 against the Kings tonight.

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst
Nov 11, 2025 • 19:52 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Nov 11 • 11:00 PM ET
SAC
41 %
DEN
59 %
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Nikola Jokic Denver Nuggets NBA
Photo By - Imagn Images. Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic (15) controls the ball.

Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets bring their four-game winning streak to the Golden 1 Center tonight to face the Sacramento Kings.

The Joker is killing the competition lately, and my Nuggets vs. Kings predictions are eyeing him to have another standout performance. 

Read more in my NBA picks for Tuesday, November 11. 

Tip-off is set for 11:00 p.m. ET, with the game airing on NBC.

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Nuggets vs Kings prediction

Nuggets vs Kings best bet: Nikola Jokic Over 27.5 points (-113)

Nikola Jokic continues to prove every season why he’s one of the best to ever do it, and 2025-26 has been no different. The Serbian has led the Denver Nuggets to a 7-2 record, and his play as of late is the primary reason they’re unbeaten in four games. 

The Joker has cashed the Over in points in three of his last four appearances, posting 30+ in each contest. The three-time MVP balled out for 31 points over the weekend in a win over the Indiana Pacers, and he also erupted for 34 points earlier this month against tonight’s opponent, the Sacramento Kings

Overall, Jokic is averaging 25.2 points per game, which is, of course, below this evening's total. But, given his brilliance over the last week, I see clear value in the Over. He’ll torch Sacramento once again.

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Nuggets vs Kings same-game parlay

The Nuggets have won six straight against the Kings, and I wouldn’t be surprised if that became seven tonight. But the spread is set at 8.5, and Sacramento has covered in each of the last three meetings. 

They only lost by six points on November 3 and by eight on April 9. The Kings are 3-4 as an ATS underdog this season. They’ve rarely been blown out by Denver, despite the lack of a win over the last couple of years. 

Zach LaVine took some time to adjust to his new surroundings last season when he was traded to Sacramento in the middle of the season, but he’s looking solid now. The UCLA product is averaging 25.2 PPG while shooting 43% from 3-point land. 

LaVine has cashed the Over in points in seven of his last nine outings. He just posted 26 points on Sunday night against the Timberwolves, and he’s averaging 24.5 points per night in four games at home. 

Nuggets vs Kings SGP

  • Nikola Jokic Over 27.5 points
  • Kings +8.5
  • Zach LaVine Over 20.5 points

Our "from downtown" SGP: The easy way or the Hardaway

Tim Hardaway Jr. has cashed the Over in points in four of his previous six appearances.

Nuggets vs Kings SGP

  • Nikola Jokic Over 27.5 points
  • Kings +8.5
  • Zach LaVine Over 20.5 points
  • Tim Hardaway Jr. Over 9.5 points

Nuggets vs Kings odds

  • Spread: Nuggets -8.5 (-110) | Kings +8.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Nuggets -350 | Kings +275
  • Over/Under: Over 243 (-110) | Under 243 (-110)

Nuggets vs Kings betting trend to know

The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 76 games (+17.10 Units / 7% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Nuggets vs. Kings.

How to watch Nuggets vs Kings

Location Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
Date Tuesday, November 11, 2025
Tip-off 11:00 p.m. ET
TV NBC, Peacock

Nuggets vs Kings latest injuries

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Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications including ClutchPoints, Gino Hard, and RG, where he plies his trade as a writer and editor.

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

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