Sabres vs Canadiens Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tuesday's NHL Playoffs Game 4

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst 16+ years betting experience
Updated: May 11, 2026 , 06:56 PM ET • 3 min read

Parker's prediction: Jakub Dobes stacks up saves with Sabres trailing in series.

NHL

Match starts: 23 hrs
BUF
39 %
MON
61 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Jakub Dobes o25.5  Total Saves (-110) Jakub Dobes o25.5 Total Saves (-110)
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Montreal Canadiens, Jakub Dobes, NHL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Montreal Canadiens goalie during Round 2 of the Stanley Cup Playoffs at KeyBank Center.

The Montreal Canadiens will look to make it three straight wins to take a commanding 3-1 series lead over the Buffalo Sabres with the two teams hitting the ice at the Bell Centre on Tuesday, May 12.

My top Sabres vs. Canadiens predictions and NHL picks are calling for a huge push from Buffalo to be answered by Montreal goaltender Jakub Dobes continuing to stand tall in Game 4.

Sabres vs Canadiens Game 4 prediction

Sabres vs Canadiens best bet: Jakub Dobes Over 25.5 saves (-110)

The Montreal Canadiens have received elite goaltending from Jakub Dobes with a .947 save percentage and 3.94 goals saved above expected the past two games, and he sports a .918 SV% with 0.591 GSAx per 60 minutes for the postseason.

While the Buffalo Sabres have won the possession battle with a 51.7 Corsi For percentage at five-on-five for the series, they’ve only converted 43.5% of their overall attempts in shots

Buffalo converted at a 49.2% rate during the regular season and 46.6% mark in Round 1. So with an added emphasis on funneling pucks to the net, in addition to a slight statistical correction in converting attempts into shots, Dobes is set to be busy again in Game 4.

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Sabres vs Canadiens Game 4 same-game parlay

Canadiens rookie Ivan Demidov collected an assist in Games 1 and 3, and he’s been on the ice for five goals and 4.37 expected goals through three games. He’s a key puck distributor on the No. 1 power-play unit and has averaged 5:04 per night with the man advantage this postseason.

Additionally, while Demidov has been held to just three shots during Round 2, he’s registered 14 attempts (21.4%). I’m anticipating him converting attempts to shots at a higher rate in Game 4 after hitting the net 17 times on 43 attempts in Round 1 (39.5%) and at a 45.0% rate during the regular season.

Turning to the final leg of this same-game parlay, Lane Hutson has recorded two or more shots in six of 10 postseason games while quarterbacking the No. 1 power-play unit and pacing the Habs in offensive zone starts at 5-on-5.

Sabres vs Canadiens SGP

  • Ivan Demidov Over 0.5 assists
  • Ivan Demidov Over 1.5 shots
  • Lane Hutson Over 1.5 shots

Sabres vs Canadiens odds for Game 4

  • Moneyline: Sabres +110 | Canadiens -130
  • Puck Line: Sabres +1.5 (-220) | Canadiens -1.5 (+180)
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 (+120) | Under 6.5 (-135)

Sabres vs Canadiens trend

The Montreal Canadiens have won 17 of their last 25 games (+8.45 Units / 27% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Sabres vs. Canadiens.

How to watch Sabres vs Canadiens Game 4

Location Bell Centre, Montreal, QC
Date Tuesday, May 12, 2026
Puck drop 7:00 p.m. ET
TV CBC, ESPN

Sabres vs Canadiens latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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