Nuggets vs Celtics Picks: No Joking Around

Feb 16, 2021 |
By: AJ Salah
Nuggets vs Celtics Picks: No Joking Around
Nikola Jokic has been dropping huge stat lines left, right and (bad pun alert) center, and gets to face a Boston squad that will have few answers for him in the post.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports
Nikola Jokic has been dropping huge stat lines left, right and (bad pun alert) center, and gets to face a Boston squad that will have few answers for him in the post.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Boston Celtics came into this season looking like a team on the rise, but after an impressive start, they've been a tough sell for NBA betting.  

The Celtics have gone 3-7 SU in their last 10 games, sitting at .500 (13-13). While they're fourth in the East, they're merely two games up on the 9th-place Chicago Bulls, and need some serious positive momentum. 

Instead of a gimme tonight, they get to host the Denver Nuggets, who are slowly finding their way amid heavy roster turnover and waves of injuries. Find out who will prevail in this contrasting clash with our Nuggets vs. Celtics picks and predictions for Tuesday, February 16. 

Denver Nuggets at Boston Celtics betting preview


Nuggets: Will Barton F (Out), Paul Millsap F (Out), Monte Morris G (Questionable), Gary Harris G (Out), PJ Dozier G (Out). 
Celtics: Marcus Smart G (Out), Daniel Theis C (Questionable).
Find our latest NBA injury reports.

Betting trend to know

Over is 10-2 in Nuggets' last 12 games as an underdog. Find more NBA betting trends for Nuggets vs. Celtics.

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NBA sharp money and line movement report

By Patrick Everson

Boston hit the FanDuel odds board as 3-point chalk and is down to -1.5 as of 2 p.m. ET. Denver is attracting 67 percent of point-spread bets and 64 percent of point-spread cash. The total opened 221 and went to 220 a couple of times, but is now back at the opener, with 90 percent of early tickets/87 percent of early cash on the Over.

Check out the full line movement for this game

Against the spread (ATS) pick

Denver is walking wounded heading into this game, and is thus being given points despite Boston being in a full-on mid-season crisis. 

As trade rumors swirl around the Celtics like rabid buzzards, Boston's dropped two in a row to the East's two worst teams (Detroit and Washington). They looked completely listless Sunday afternoon, getting blown out by the Wizards.

All Denver did Sunday was manhandle the Lakers, and while Paul Millsap will sit this game, JaMychal Green is a more-than-capable backup. The Celtics will still struggle to contain Nikola Jokic (especially with Daniel Theis possibly out) and the absence of Marcus Smart is severely detrimental to stopping Jamal Murray

Jayson Tatum will surely play better than he did Sunday (a measly six points), but the Celtics look generally shell-shocked, like they meant to level up this season and the cracks are beginning to show. 

Boston matches up poorly in this spot and is laying points, making it really hard to back the Celts given their current form. 

PREDICTION: Denver +3 (-110)

Over/Under pick

Celtics lines have been fairly tricky. They oscillate wildly between high and low-scoring performances, sitting an even 13-13 O/U on the season. 

Denver, on the other hand, is the NBA's best Over team this season at 19-7. They average the NBA's fifth-most points per game, and aren't exactly a stout defensive unit on a good day, let alone when Millsap is out. 

Combined, these teams average over 225 ppg, and several intangibles - from Denver likely dictating tempo, the absence of several key defenders, and Boston looking to get itself going after a pathetic showing against Washington  - suggest another Over. 

PREDICTION: Over 221.5 (-110)

Player prop pick

The biggest threat to LeBron James narrative-coasting to another MVP trophy could be Jokic, who is putting up simply gaudy numbers for a Nuggets squad that's slowly climbing the West ranks. 

Jokic's 26.5/11.5/8.7 basic line represents career-highs across the board, and easily surpasses his 42.5 pts+rebs+asts total for this game. 

Jokic has eclipsed that number in four of his past five games, averaging 49.2 pts+rebs+asts in that stretch. Boston could be down their starting center, and outside of pine-rider Tacko Fall, has nobody over 6'9" to contest Jokic either in the post or on the glass. 

This could be a huge night for the Serbian sensation, and getting this prop un-juiced can't be passed up. 

PREDICTION: Nikola Jokic Over 42.5 pts+rebs+asts (-110)

Nuggets vs Celtics betting card

  • Denver +3 (-110)
  • Over 221.5 (-110)
  • Nikola Jokic Over 42.5 pts+rebs+asts (-110)
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