Victor Wembaynama and the San Antonio Spurs upset the Oklahoma City Thunder in the semifinals of the NBA Cup just 10 days ago, and OKC has been in shambles since.
That’s a bit of a joke, but the Thunder have lost two of their last four games, which is a little shocking considering their 24-1 start.
Either way, my Thunder vs. Spurs predictions have locked in on some NBA picks that explain why Wemby will have another big impact in this matchup on Tuesday, December 23.
Thunder vs Spurs prediction
Thunder vs Spurs best bet: Victor Wembanyama Over 8.5 Rebounds (-115)
If the Oklahoma City Thunder and the San Antonio Spurs were paired in a playoff matchup this season, I think 100 out of 100 NBA fans would sign up for that.
Simply put, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander vs. Victor Wembanyama is must-see TV.
Their NBA Cup semifinals matchup was a back-and-forth battle, but Wemby and the Spurs gutted out a 111-109 win as 10-point underdogs. Now, the Spurs are still getting 5.5 points at home, but you can bet a lot more people will be backing San Antonio than last time out.
Wemby was incredible in that NBA Cup matchup, going for 22 points and nine rebounds with a +21 in just over 20 minutes of action.
Now, Wemby is a game-changer basically every time he takes the court, but he is especially built for this matchup. He’s one of the few guys who can battle Chet Holmgren while still being able to disrupt the perimeter.
Wemby is also perfect at taking advantage of one of the Thunder’s few weaknesses, which includes cleaning the glass. OKC is an average rebounding team, ranking 19th in rebounding rate and 15th in opponent rebounds per game.
San Antonio has taken it easy with their superstar since returning from injury, giving him just 20.3 minutes in his first four games back. Despite the limited minutes, he’s still averaging 19.3 points and 10.3 rebounds per game.
He’s grabbed 12 rebounds in two straight and has gone Over 8.5 rebounds in three of four.
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Thunder vs Spurs same-game parlay
The Thunder allow the third-most points per game to opposing guards. That was apparent in the semis when both De’Aaron Fox and Stephon Castle went for 22 points.
Fox has been shooting well for most of December, averaging 20.3 points while shooting 42.9% from 3-point range, and has hit 20+ points in seven of his last 10 games.
But one way OKC can frustrate the Spurs is by disrupting passing lanes and forcing turnovers. They lead the league in steals per game, and SGA is one of the best at that. SGA averages 1.5 steals per game and has two or more in four of his last five games, and the Spurs rank 13th in turnover rate.
Thunder vs Spurs SGP
- Victor Wembanyama Over 8.5 rebounds
- De'Aaron Fox Over 18.5 points
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 1.5 steals
Our "from downtown" SGP: Wembymania Runs Wild
For our downtown SGP, let's bump Wemnby from Over 8.5 rebounds to a double-double and take the Spurs to beat the Thunder in a second consecutive meeting.
Thunder vs Spurs SGP
- Victor Wembanyama double-double
- De'Aaron Fox Over 18.5 points
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 1.5 steals
- Spurs Moneyline
Thunder vs Spurs odds
- Spread: Thunder -5.5 | Spurs +5.5
- Moneyline: Thunder -220 | Spurs +180
- Over/Under: Over 233 | Under 233
Thunder vs Spurs betting trend to know
The Spurs have hit the 1H Moneyline in 37 of their last 62 games for +20.20 Units and a 21% ROI. Find more NBA betting trends for Thunder vs. Spurs.
How to watch Thunder vs Spurs
| Location | Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX |
| Date | Tuesday, December 23, 2025 |
| Tip-off | 8:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | FDSN-Oklahoma, FDSN-Southwest |
Thunder vs Spurs latest injuries
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