Lakers vs Thunder Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's NBA Playoffs Game 2

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst 21+ years betting experience
Updated: May 7, 2026 , 06:29 PM ET • 4 min read

Logan's prediction: LeBron James scored 27 points in the series opener, and he'll continue that success tonight.

NBA

May 07 • 9:30 PM ET
LAL
57 %
OKC
43 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
LeBron James o21.5  Points Scored (-115) LeBron James o21.5 Points Scored (-115)
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Los Angeles Lakers forward LeBron James NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. LeBron James (23) looks towards his bench after a play against the Oklahoma City Thunder.
  • UPDATE: Added a prediction for who will win tonight.

Stopping LeBron James has been a tough task for NBA teams over the past 23 years, and the Oklahoma City Thunder aren’t about to start spitting into the wind when it comes to containing LeBron. 

My Lakers vs. Thunder predictions for Game 2 see OKC giving LBJ the green light, while making sure no one else in Purple and Gold is causing too much havoc. 

Read more in NBA picks for Thursday, May 7.

Lakers vs Thunder Game 2 prediction

Who will win Lakers vs Thunder Game 2?

Thunder: The Lakers put up a sound fight in Game 1, but the Thunder just kept inching further and further away, until they finally finished 18 points ahead.

Oklahoma City was a little rusty after more than a week between series, and even with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander getting bottled up, the rest of the OKC rotation was too much for the Lakers.

Another big spread says Oklahoma City takes a 2-0 series edge Thursday.

Lakers vs Thunder best bet: LeBron James Over 21.5 points (-115)

LeBron James got whatever he wanted in Game 1, finishing with 27 points on 12-of-17 shooting. 

The bulk of those buckets came at the rim against a seemingly impenetrable Oklahoma City Thunder interior defense. But what if that’s what OKC wants? 

James drew defense from Lu Dort and Alex Caruso, and the Thunder didn’t bother bringing doubles at all. Allowing James to score 27 points isn’t going to put a dent in things if the other Los Angeles Lakers can’t contribute. And they didn’t, with the rest of the team shooting just 34% from the field with 15 turnovers.

Game 2 forecasts call for 21+ points from James.

Covers COVERS INTEL: LeBron James still scored 27 points despite his Game 1 usage plummeting to 22.1%. That’s down from 30.9% in Round 1. He shot just 17 FGAs on Tuesday after putting up 20+ attempts in four of the six games vs. Houston. Expect more activity from James in Game 2.

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Lakers vs Thunder Game 2 same-game parlay

The Thunder won with ease in Game 1, and that was after an extended layoff between rounds. Oklahoma City has shaken off the rust and will run the Lakers out of the gym in Game 2, with L.A. lacking the firepower and interior scoring to hang with the champs.

Chet Holmgren is a matchup nightmare for the Lakers. The 7-footer runs the floor in transition, moves well without the ball, and knocks down looks from long range. Holmgren is forecasted for 17+ points on Thursday.

Lakers vs Thunder SGP

  • Thunder -15.5
  • LeBron James Over 21.5 points
  • Chet Holmgren Over 16.5 points

Our "from downtown" SGP: Bet on Chet

Holmgren put up 24 points and 12 rebounds along with two blocks in Game 1, smashing L.A.’s soft interior defense.

The Lakers don’t have a solution for his size, quickness, and range, especially when rolling out Isaiah Hartenstein and forcing Los Angeles to match up small on Chet.

Lakers vs Thunder SGP

  • Thunder -15.5
  • Chet Holmgren Over 16.5 points
  • Chet Holmgren Over 8.5 rebounds
  • Chet Holmgren Over 1.5 blocks

Lakers vs Thunder odds for Game 2

  • Spread: Lakers +15.5 (-110) | Thunder -15.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Lakers +600 | Thunder -900
  • Over/Under: Over 209.5 (-110) | Under 209.5 (-110)

Lakers vs Thunder betting trend to know

Los Angeles has only eclipsed its team total in 16 of its last 40 away games (-11.85 Units / -26% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Lakers vs. Thunder.

How to watch Lakers vs Thunder Game 2

Location Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
Date Thursday, May 7, 2026
Tip-off 9:30 p.m. ET
TV Prime Video

Lakers vs Thunder latest injuries

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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst Jason Logan has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous NFL Underdogs column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason's first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast at stations like WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio, Jason's analysis has also been featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers' flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

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