Knicks vs Warriors Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Farmer's prediction: Draymond Green is less of an impact player for the Warriors as the season wears on. Golden State should still win, but don't expect much from Dray.

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst
Jan 15, 2026 • 15:44 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 5 hrs
GS
47 %
NY
53 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Draymond Green u5.5  Total Rebounds (-125) Draymond Green u5.5 Total Rebounds (-125)
Read Analysis
Draymond Green Golden State Warriors NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Golden State Warriors forward Draymond Green (23).

No, sportsbooks are not offering any prop bets on Golden State Warriors’ forward Jonathan Kuminga.

His trade demand dominates the headlines, but it will be an afterthought as Golden State hosts the New York Knicks tonight.

My Knicks vs. Warriors predictions look elsewhere in Golden State’s rotation for someone to doubt, someone whose decline has emphasized Kuminga’s seat on the bench.

Find out more in my NBA picks for Thursday, January 15.

Knicks vs Warriors prediction

Knicks vs Warriors best bet: Draymond Green Under 5.5 rebounds (-125)

The New York Knicks rank No. 5 in the NBA in rebounding percentage and No. 6 in offensive rebounding percentage. Their bevy of physical and long wings complements Karl-Anthony Towns and Mitchell Robinson on the boards, the perfect combination to stifle the undersized and aging Draymond Green.

Golden State’s life would have been better if Green had been able to help elevate Jonathan Kuminga into the role the youngster wants. The deeper the Warriors are, the less Green’s age shows up.

Instead, Green’s limitations are on increasing display. Even on the glass, he has fallen short of this modest prop in 16 of 34 games this season, rarely facing teams as solid on the boards as the Knicks are.

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Knicks vs Warriors same-game parlay

Just because this is a matchup that should mitigate Green — who has fallen short of this modest points prop in 20 of his 34 games this season — that does not mean the Warriors won't control this game on the second night of a back-to-back for the Knicks.

Knicks vs Warriors SGP

  • Draymond Green Under 5.5 rebounds
  • Draymond Green Under 8.5 points
  • Warriors -6.5

Our "from downtown" SGP: Chef's Kiss

New York ranks No. 25 in opposing 3-point percentage, giving up 37.2% from deep this season. Who better to exploit that than Stephen Curry?

Knicks vs Warriors SGP

  • Draymond Green Under 5.5 rebounds
  • Draymond Green Under 8.5 points
  • Warriors -6.5
  • Steph Curry Over 27.5 points

Knicks vs Warriors odds

  • Spread: Knicks +6.5 | Warriors -6.5
  • Moneyline: Knicks +205 | Warriors -250
  • Over/Under: Over 228.5 | Under 228.5

Knicks vs Warriors betting trend to know

This is the fourth game of a New York road trip on the West Coast, going 1-2 against the spread thus far. Find more NBA betting trends for Knicks vs. Warriors.

How to watch Knicks vs Warriors

Location Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Date Thursday, January 15, 2026
Tip-off 10:00 p.m. ET
TV Prime Video

Knicks vs Warriors latest injuries

Not intended for use in MA.
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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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