It’s the two most electric words in sports: Game 7 and our NBA player prop projections are locked in for this decisive showdown between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Detroit Pistons, with the model identifying several high-value betting opportunities to close out the Eastern Conference semifinals.
By analyzing the data against current market lines, we’ve identified where the strongest edges exist.
These Cavaliers vs. Pistons predictions are driven by numbers instead of guesswork.
If you’re building your card, here are the model’s top NBA picks for Sunday, May 17.
Cavaliers vs Pistons computer picks for Game 7
 Cavaliers |
 Pistons |
|---|---|
| Mitchell o25.5 points -105 |
Cunningham o26.5 points -120 |
| Strus o2.5 3-pointers +135 |
Duren o8.5 rebounds -135 |
| Harden o6.5 assists +102 |
Jenkins o3.5 assists -120 |
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Cavaliers Game 7 computer picks
Donovan Mitchell Over 25.5 points (-105)
Projection: 26.5 points
Donovan Mitchell struggled to find his rhythm in Game 6, finishing with just 18 points on an inefficient 6-for-20 shooting night in what could have punched the Cleveland Cavaliers’ ticket to the Eastern Conference Finals. That level of production simply won’t cut it in a win-or-go-home Game 7.
Having come up short of this scoring line in each of the last two games, Mitchell feels due for a bounce-back performance—one more in line with the explosive showing he delivered in Cleveland’s Game 4 victory.
Max Strus Over 2.5 3-pointers (+135)
Projection: 2.52 3-pointers
Max Strus has elevated his intensity on both ends throughout this series against the Detroit Pistons, and a Game 7 should only amplify that energy.
He’s knocked down multiple threes in back-to-back games, and will once again be counted on to make his mark from deep as the Cavaliers try to get past a scrappy Pistons squad on the road.
James Harden Over 6.5 assists (+102)
Projection: 7.08 assists
James Harden has gone over this assists line in three of six games in the series against Detroit, and nearly made it four after recording six dimes in the Game 5 overtime win. If Cleveland is going to advance, it’ll need Harden at his playmaking best — this team’s ceiling has always been tied to his performance.
Expect the veteran to step up in a must-win spot, facilitating at a high level and putting himself in position to cash this assists prop as the Cavaliers push for a showdown with the Knicks.
Pistons Game 7 computer picks
Cade Cunningham Over 26.5 points (-120)
Projection: 26.97 points
Cade Cunningham has been on a scoring tear, averaging 28.8 points over his last 10 games; nearly five points above his season average. The matchup only adds to the appeal, as Cleveland has allowed opposing starting point guards to shoot 41.4% from three this season, the second-highest mark in the league.
With that vulnerability in play, Cunningham is set up nicely to deliver at home — and there’s no bigger stage than a Game 7 in front of the Detroit crowd.
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Jalen Duren Over 8.5 rebounds (-135)
Projection: 10.41 rebounds
Jalen Duren bounced back in a big way in Game 6, reasserting himself on the glass and helping keep the Pistons’ season alive. After a few quieter outings against Cleveland, he responded with a strong 15-point, 11-rebound performance.
Now heading into Game 7 at Little Caesars Arena, expect Duren to carry that momentum with a renewed edge as he looks to clear this rebound line once again.
Daniss Jenkins Over 3.5 assists (-120)
Projection: 4.02 assists
Daniss Jenkins has consistently stepped up in key moments for Detroit, making his presence felt with hustle plays, timely rebounds, and shot creation. While he’s hovered around this 3.5 assists line for most of the series — only clearing it in Game 2 — he’s been right on the doorstep more often than not.
In a win-or-go-home scenario, expect Jenkins to be heavily involved again, with a strong chance to convert those "almosts" into enough dimes to push this prop over the line.
How to watch Cavaliers vs Pistons Game 7
| Location | Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI |
| Date | Sunday, May 17, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Prime Video |
Not intended for use in MA.
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