Cavaliers vs Grizzlies Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Tom Oldfield - Contributor at Covers.com
Tom Oldfield • Betting Analyst 22+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 6, 2026 , 11:27 AM ET • 4 min read

Donovan Mitchell and James Harden lead the Cavaliers to a dominant and decisive victory over the floundering Grizzlies.

NBA

Match starts: 7 hrs
CLE
63 %
MEM
37 %
Read Analysis
Donovan Mitchell James Harden Cleveland Cavaliers NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Cleveland Cavaliers guard Donovan Mitchell (45) and guard James Harden (1) talk during a free throw attempt during the second half against the Orlando Magic.

Even in a slightly underwhelming regular season, the Cleveland Cavaliers can hit the 50-win mark tonight as they visit the Memphis Grizzlies.

Memphis has dropped four straight and could boost its lottery odds with another loss here, so my Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies predictions expect Donovan Mitchell and James Harden to lead the onslaught at FedExForum.

Check out my NBA picks for this April 6 clash, with both squads on the second night of a back-to-back set.

Cavaliers vs Grizzlies prediction

Cavaliers vs Grizzlies best bet: Cavaliers -15.5 (-110)

The Cleveland Cavaliers would surely prefer to hang onto the No. 4 seed and avoid the Celtics-Knicks side of the East bracket, but they’re 8-2 straight up in their last 10 and heavy favorites to breeze past the Memphis Grizzlies tonight.

I’m riding with a Cleveland team that’s won the last six meetings with Memphis, and there’s every reason to expect that streak to continue, given the Grizzlies’ recent form. Three of the hosts’ past four losses have come by a margin of 15+ points, and Cedric Coward and GG Jackson both missed yesterday’s defeat in Milwaukee. 

This is a lot of points to lay, especially after a sleepy Cavs win over the Pacers last night, but it’ll only take one quality stretch from Donovan Mitchell and James Harden to put this game on ice. The visitors may also have Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen back to control the paint and paper over lapses on the perimeter.

The numbers point to the Cleveland offense as the difference-maker. The Cavs average 119.3 points per game, fueled by the seventh-most 3-pointers attempted, while the Grizzlies are giving up 119.7, the sixth-most in the league.

Memphis is 26-33 against the spread as an underdog, so I prefer to trust a Cleveland squad that’s 24-15 SU on the road and has Mitchell coming off a 38-point outburst.

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Cavaliers vs Grizzlies same-game parlay

Putting aside Harden’s playoff no-shows for a moment, he’s a regular-season winner, and I expect him to have his fingerprints all over a Cavs win today.

He averaged 8.1 assists in March, and he’s knocked down eight 3-pointers across his past two outings. If at least one of Mobley and Allen is available, those lob threats will boost The Beard’s dimes tally.

Cavaliers vs Grizzlies SGP

  • Cavaliers -15.5
  • James Harden Over 7.5 assists
  • James Harden Over 2.5 made threes

Our "from downtown" SGP: The Mitchell Report

Mitchell is the key to a deep Cavs postseason run, and I love all the Overs for Spida tonight. He’s averaging 27.8 PPG, and he’s had six assists in two of his last three games. It’s hard to see Memphis keeping him out of the paint here.

Cavaliers vs Grizzlies SGP

  • Cavaliers -15.5
  • Donovan Mitchell Over 25.5 points
  • Donovan Mitchell Over 2.5 made threes
  • Donovan Mitchell Over 5.5 assists

Cavaliers vs Grizzlies odds

  • Spread: Cavaliers -15.5 (-110) | Grizzlies +15.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Cavaliers -1600 | Grizzlies +900
  • Over/Under: Over 234.5 (-110) | Under 234.5 (-110)

Cavaliers vs Grizzlies betting trend to know

The Grizzlies are 1-9 SU in their last 10 contests. Find more NBA betting trends for Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies.

How to watch Cavaliers vs Grizzlies

Location FedExForum, Memphis, TN
Date Friday, April 6, 2026
Tip-off 8:00 p.m. ET
TV FDSN-Ohio, FDSN-Memphis

Cavaliers vs Grizzlies latest injuries

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Tom Oldfield - Covers
Betting Analyst

Tom Oldfield’s sports writing journey over the past 20 years has taken him from the Premier League and Champions League to the NFL, NBA, WNBA and MLB, with a wide range of articles and betting previews. Tom has worked closely with London’s Sportsbeat sports news agency as well as (thrillingly!) covering the Toronto Raptors’ 2019 NBA championship run, and he has appeared on BBC World Service and The Back Page podcast.

A graduate of the University of Nottingham in the UK, he is the author of biographies on Cristiano Ronaldo, Rafael Nadal, Gary Neville and Cesc Fabregas, and he co-authors a long-running series of children’s soccer books with his brother, Matt.

As a regular bettor across the top sports leagues, particularly with FanDuel and bet365, he is well versed on all the major markets and the next big game is rarely far from his thoughts. The best betting advice he has received is to monitor multiple sportsbooks to grab the best possible value.

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