The Philadelphia 76ers stunned the Boston Celtics in seven games to set up a series with the New York Knicks, which begins tonight.
Our NBA player prop projections have crunched the numbers to give you the best data-driven 76ers vs. Knicks predictions and NBA picks possible for Monday, May 4.
76ers vs Knicks computer picks for Game 1
 76ers |
 Knicks |
|---|---|
| Edgecombe o12.5 points +100 |
Bridges o2.5 assists +130 |
| George o14.5 points -130 |
Towns u3.5 assists +125 |
| Oubre Jr. o9.5 points -125 |
Brunson o6.5 assists +100 |
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76ers Game 1 computer picks
VJ Edgecombe Over 12.5 points (+100)
Projection: 15.2 points
This prop clocks in at a whopping +25.29% EV edge, making it a five-star play.
VJ Edgecombe has hit the Over in six of his last 10, and our computer has identified this as an extremely positive matchup.
"When the New York Knicks have the home court advantage, they have given up the most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs this year (21.5)."
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Paul George Over 14.5 points (-130)
Projection: 17.6 points
Paul George represents the other five-star Philadelphia 76ers scoring prop tonight, with a +23.55% EV edge.
He cashed this prop in six of seven games vs. the Celtics.
Kelly Oubre Jr. Over 9.5 points (-125)
Projection: 11.6 points
Kelly Oubre Jr. is expected to beat this line by over two full points.
Oubre Jr. has reached double-figures in seven of his last 10 overall, and once in two meetings with the New York Knicks this season.
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Knicks Game 1 computer picks
Mikal Bridges Over 2.5 assists (+130)
Projection: 3.2 assists
Mikal Bridges has gone for 3+ assists in only three of his last 10 overall, but our system is valuing the plus-money being offered on the Over tonight.
With a projection of 3.2 assists, this wager checks in as a five-star play with a +23.53% EV edge.
It should be noted that Bridges beat this line in all four regular-season meetings with Philly.
Karl-Anthony Towns Under 3.5 assists (+125)
Projection: 3.2 assists
Although Karl-Anthony Towns has hit the Over in nine of his last 10 overall, our computer believes now is the time to sell, especially at plus-odds.
Helping out Under bettors is an expected sluggish tempo.
"The New York Knicks have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.. The New York Knicks are expected to see a decline in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Philadelphia 76ers)."
Jalen Brunson Over 6.5 assists (+100)
Projection: 7.4 assists
Jalen Brunson has 7+ assists in seven of his last 10 games. Our system believes he's good for 7.4 assists tonight, yielding a +16.27% EV edge.
How to watch 76ers vs Knicks Game 1
| Location | Madison Square Garden, New York, NY |
| Date | Monday, May 4, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC/Peacock |
Not intended for use in MA.
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