NASCAR Wurth 400 Predictions, Odds & Race Preview — Texas Motor Speedway

The NASCAR Cup Series is set to hit the road for Fort Worth, Texas, as drivers get prepared for the 2025 edition of the Wurth 400.

Kyle Larson and William Byron are unsurprisingly atop the odds board, and we have a plethora of betting picks for you to sink your teeth into ahead of the checkered flag being waved on Sunday, May 4.

Odds to win 2025 Wurth 400

Driver
Kyle Larson	+500
William Byron	+600
Tyler Reddick	+750
Denny Hamlin	+800
Christopher Bell	+800
Ryan Blaney	+900
Joey Logano	+1400
Chase Briscoe	+1400
Kyle Busch	+1600
Bubba Wallace	+1800
Chase Elliott	+2000
Alex Bowman	+2200
Ty Gibbs	+2500
Ross Chastain	+2800
Josh Berry	+3000
Chris Buescher	+3000
Brad Keselowski	+3500
Daniel Suarez	+4000
Carson Hocevar	+7000
Austin Cindric	+8000

Odds as of 4-30.

Wurth 400 field

With a combined three wins between the two, Kyle Larson and William Byron make up the Top 2 spots. Tyler Reddick rounds out the Top 3 as he pursues his first win of the season. If you're expecting a repeat winner in Fort Worth, Denny Hamlin is priced at +800.

Meanwhile, Austin Cindric is +8000 to win after taking the victory last weekend in Talladega. 

Wurth 400 expert picks and predictions

Odds listed below courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook as of 4-30.

Wurth 400 pre-qualifying favorites

Kyle Larson (+500)
Larson won both the All-Star Race as well as the playoff race at Texas in 2021. While he finished ninth, 31st, and 21st in his last three points-paying races here, he won stages (Stage 1 in 2022, Stage 2 in 2023, Stage 1 in 2024) in the last three races and led 19, 99, and 77 laps, respectively. Larson has four Top-5 finishes in the last five races, including two wins and a runner-up. 

William Byron (+600)
This has quickly became one of Byron’s better tracks. The Hendrick Motorsports driver has finished 11th or better in each of his last six Texas tries, including leading 135 laps in that span. He won the 2023 race, was runner-up in 2021, and third last year. Byron has seven Top-6 finishes in 10 races this season.  

Tyler Reddick (+750)
Reddick led 70 laps in his 2022 victory, and while he finished 25th in 2023, Reddick won the first stage and led 36 laps. He rebounded to qualify and finish fourth last April after leading 37 laps. My only concern is after two Top-4 finishes in the first three races, he has one in the last seven.

Wurth 400 sleepers

Joey Logano (+1400)
Logano has been good here lately. Five Top-5 finishes in his last nine tries, including a runner-up in 2022. In 31 Texas starts, Logano has 13 Top-4 results and finished 11th last season after leading 14 laps. Sounds like a great time for his first Top-5 finish.

Chase Briscoe (+1400)
Briscoe has four Top-10 finishes in five points-paying Texas starts, including fifth in 2022, 10th a year ago in 2023, and sixth last year in a race he finished fifth in both stages. 

Bubba Wallace (+1800)
Had the race won from the pole in 2023. Wallace led 111 laps in a third-place effort. He started 10th and finished seventh last year. Wallace finished 10th and second, respectively, in the two stages. He also has three Top-8 finishes in the last five races this season.

Brad Keselowski (+3500)
Keselowski has six straight Top-10 finishes in Texas (ninth, sixth, fourth, eighth, seventh, second) and 14 Top-10 finishes in 29 career starts on this track.

Wurth 400 fades

Denny Hamlin (+800) 
This, surprisingly, isn’t one of Hamlin's strongest tracks, and I think he’s a great fantasy play, but not so much an outright winner for these odds. Yes, he's a three-time Texas winner, but he also has just three Top-5 finishes in his last 12 Texas tries.

Ryan Blaney (+900) 
Blaney has finished 28th and 33rd in the last two Texas starts. Previously, he had seven consecutive Top-8 finishes with at least 15 laps led in eight of his last 11 starts. The problem is that his May 2022 win is his only trip to victory lane in that span. Blaney hasn’t finished better than fourth all season, and that was on a superspeedway.  

Chase Elliott (+2000) 
He won last season for his first victory in 16 Texas tries. That was also just his fourth Top-5 finish. His three previous results were 23rd, 32nd, and 11th, respectively. Elliott has three Top-5 finishes this season, but his best result among them is fourth in COTA and Martinsville. 

Wurth 400 prop pick

Bell was fourth in 2023 and third in both 2020 and 2021. That’s why his 17th-place finish last season doesn’t scare me. He started third in the race and finished second in the opening stage. He also has five Top-3 finishes this season, tied for the top among all drivers with Larson.

Pick: Christopher Bell Top-3 finish (+230 at DraftKings)

Texas Motor Speedway track analysis

This track most closely resembles the Charlotte Motor Speedway, with its dogleg and two longer, sweeping corners. They somewhat differ in the fact Texas has way more width in turns one and two than Charlotte does.

Being the second 1.5-mile track on the schedule this season, though, there’s not a lot of data to scour through, which is why past trends and performances are leading to the picks. 

Wurth 400 trends

• Chevrolet has won five of the last six Texas races, including four consecutively by four different drivers (Kyle Larson, Tyler Reddick, William Byron, Chase Elliott).
• The last Ford driver not named Kevin Harvick to win at Texas was Joey Logano in 2014. Every other Ford winner is retired.

Wurth 400 info

Previous Wurth 400 winners

Denny Hamlin and Martin Truex Jr. have each won twice over the last 10 years.

How to make Wurth 400 picks

NASCAR betting is a nuanced process that can take any number of factors into account, and spans several different types of bets. Fortunately, our How to Bet NASCAR guide walks you through the basics, including how to read odds, different markets that are available, and what to consider when making your bets. 

Pages related to this topic