🏁Toyota Save Mart 350: Key takeaways
- Best pre-qualifying bet: Michael McDowell Top 5 (+210) — Always a threat on road courses.
- Best pre-qualifying value: Kyle Larson (+1100) — Another strong qualifying run could knock his price down.
- Best pre-qualifying prop bet: Chase Briscoe Top 5 (+285) — Can build on solid second here from 2025.
- Track: Gain spots on pit road, because gaining them on track is tough.
- Weather: Bright and sunny.
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Toyota Save Mart 350 odds: Favorites & full field
The Toyota Save Mart 350 runs at 3:30 p.m. ET on TNT. Below are the latest outright odds, followed by the picks and market-by-market best bets we like this week.
| Driver |  |
|---|---|
| Shane Van Gisbergen | -165 |
| Connor Zilisch | +600 |
| Tyler Reddick | +900 |
| Kyle Larson | +1100 |
| Ryan Blaney | +1600 |
| Michael McDowell | +1600 |
| Ty Gibbs | +2000 |
| Chris Buescher | +2200 |
| Chase Briscoe | +2200 |
| Chase Elliott | +2500 |
| William Byron | +2500 |
| AJ Allmendinger | +2500 |
| Daniel Suarez | +5000 |
| Christopher Bell | +5000 |
| Carson Hocevar | +5000 |
| Bubba Wallace | +5500 |
| Ross Chastain | +6000 |
| Denny Hamlin | +7500 |
| Joey Logano | +9000 |
| Austin Hill | +9000 |
Odds as of 6-27.
Check out the full Toyota Save Mart 350 field.
Best bets card (updated Saturday)
- Outright: Kyle Larson (+1100)
- Top 5: Michael McDowell (+210)
- Top 5: Chase Briscoe (+285)
- Matchup: Zane Smith (+135) over Carson Hocevar
Who's hot? Who's not?
- 🔥 Bubba Wallace — Third or better in two of last three overall
- ❄️ Chase Elliott — 11th or worse in five of last six races.
Track breakdown: What wins at Sonoma Raceway?
- Given how difficult it is to pass at Sonoma, teams up front often choose to forfeit stage points and pit just before the green and white checkered flag to preserve track position.
- Sonoma can chew up tires as well as brake pedals. Over-aggression is punished at this course.
Key stats & driver profiles to target
- Ford has won at Sonoma just three times since 2002, and none since 2018.
- Ford has a total of just five Top 10s at road/street courses in 2026 (three races).
Drivers to watch
- Ryan Blaney has two of those Top 10s, but fell back from his spot on the starting grid in all three races.
Odds movement & market notes
- Christopher Bell opened at +5000 after leaving the race at San Diego early due to a wrist issue stemming from a wreck at Michigan. If he's not at full strength, and it shows in qualifying, expect his odds to balloon.
- AJ Allmendinger has qualified Top 10 in seven of the last nine Cup Series races at Sonoma. Expect his odds to shorten from +2500 if it happens again.
Outright picks: Winners to bet
Pick: Kyle Larson (+1100)
Larson frequently finds the front at Sonoma.
- Track Fit: Two-time winner with five pole awards.
- Recent Form: Top 5 in four of last five overall.
- Market Value: I expect him to drop, but would still play him at +700.
Risk: Hasn't won since May 2025.
Pick made on Saturday, 6-27.
Best Top 5 bets
Pick 1: Michael McDowell (+210)
McDowell has been "Mr. Consistent" on road courses.
- Track Fit: Top 5 in three of the last four races at Sonoma.
- Recent Form: Top 10 in all three road/street races in 2026, with two Top 5s.
- Market Value: +150 is the limit.
Risk: Only four laps led in 13 Cup Series races here.
Pick made on Saturday, 6-27.
Pick 2: Chase Briscoe (+285)
Underrated road racer was the biggest threat to SVG at Sonoma last year.
- Track Fit: Second with two stage places here in 2025.
- Recent Form: Average rating of 95+ in four of his last six races.
- Market Value: Still playable at +200.
Risk: Recorded his first Top 10 at Sonoma in 2025.
Pick made on Saturday, 6-27.
Best matchup & head-to-head bets
Pick: Zane Smith (+135) over Carson Hocevar
Hocevar's poor road course history makes him a fade at these odds.
- Matchup Advantage: Smith exits a fourth-place finish at San Diego.
- Key Stat: Hocevar has missed the Top 10 in 10 straight road/street races.
Risk: Smith's San Diego effort was just his second road/street Top 5 (16 races).
Pick made on Saturday, 6-27.
How to watch the Toyota Save Mart 350
| Location: | Sonoma Raceway, Sonoma, CA |
| Date: | Sunday, June 28, 2026 |
| Start time: | 3:30 p.m. ET |
| TV: | TNT |
Check out the full weekend schedule for the 2026 Toyota Save Mart 350.
Sonoma Raceway weather
It will be 81F with light winds under a cloudless sky on Sunday afternoon at Sonoma.
Previous Toyota Save Mart 350 winners
| Year | Winner | Manufacturer |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Shane Van Gisbergen | Chevrolet |
| 2024 | Kyle Larson | Chevrolet |
| 2023 | Martin Truex Jr. | Toyota |
| 2022 | Daniel Suarez | Chevrolet |
| 2021 | Kyle Larson | Chevrolet |
Toyota Save Mart 350 betting FAQ
When is the 2026 Toyota Save Mart 350?
The Toyota Save Mart 350 is set for 3:30 p.m. ET on TNT.
Where will the 2026 Toyota Save Mart 350 be held?
Sonoma Raceway is the site for the Toyota Save Mart 350.
Who is the 2026 Toyota Save Mart 350 favorite?
Shane Van Gisbergen is favored to win the 2026 Toyota Save Mart 350.
Who won the Toyota Save Mart 350 last year?
Last year's Toyota Save Mart 350 was won by Shane Van Gisbergen.
How do Toyota Save Mart 350 prop bets work?
Top 3s, Top 5s, Top 10s, and head-to-head matchups are just some of the Toyota Save Mart 350 prop bets on the market.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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