NASCAR Great American Getaway 400 Predictions, Odds & Picks — Pocono Raceway

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst 11+ years betting experience
Updated: Jun 13, 2026 , 06:06 AM ET • 4 min read

Don't miss Robert Criscola's expert picks for the Great American Getaway 400 at Pocono!

NASCAR Cup Series Kyle Larson Tyler Reddick
Photo By - Reuters Connect. NASCAR Cup Series drivers Kyle Larson (5) and Tyler Reddick (45) battle during the Cracker Barrel 400.

🏁Great American Getaway 400: Key takeaways

  • Best pre-qualifying bet: Tyler Reddick (+550) — The smart alternative to Hamlin.
  • Best pre-qualifying value: Kyle Larson to win (+750) — Larson's long losing streak could end here.
  • Best pre-qualifying prop bet: Ty Gibbs Top 5 (+185) — There's good value in this prop.
  • Track: Mastery of all three unique turns is required just to pull off some passes.
  • Weather: Rain could shorten or delay this race, depending on when it arrives.

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Great American Getaway 400 odds: Favorites & full field

The Great American Getaway 400 runs at 3 p.m. ET on Sunday, June 14 on Prime Video. Below are the latest outright odds, followed by the picks and market-by-market best bets we like this week.

Driver DraftKings
Denny Hamlin +225
Tyler Reddick +550
Kyle Larson +750
Christopher Bell +900
Ryan Blaney  +1000
Chase Briscoe +1100
Chase Elliott +1200
William Byron +1200
Ty Gibbs +1400
Carson Hocevar +1400
Bubba Wallace +2200
Joey Logano +2500
Chris Buescher +2500
Erik Jones +3500
Brad Keselowski +4000
Ross Chastain +4000
Daniel Suarez +7500
Alex Bowman +8000
Austin Cindric +9000
Shane Van Gisbergen +9000

Odds as of 6-13.

Check out the full Great American Getaway 400 field.


Best bets card (updated Saturday)

  • Outright: Tyler Reddick (+550)
  • Outright: Kyle Larson (+750)
  • Top 5: Ty Gibbs (+185)
  • Matchup: Chase Elliott (+180) over Denny Hamlin 

Who's hot? Who's not?

  • 🔥 Daniel Suarez — Second only to Denny Hamlin in average finishing position over the last six races (9.5).
  • ❄️ Connor Zilisch — Has wrecked out of three straight races.

Track breakdown: What wins at Pocono Raceway?

  • Passing is difficult due to the dirty air generated at this low-banking course. Going off the ideal racing line can also scrub significant speed.
  • Lap times are typically over 50 seconds, so managing fuel milage and tire wear while timing pit stops properly becomes even more critical.

Key stats & driver profiles to target

  • The Top 4 qualifying positions have accounted for 50% of all Cup Series race wins at Pocono.
  • Chevrolet has only one win in the last 11 Pocono races, and it was awarded to Chase Elliot via double DQ in 2022.

Drivers to watch

  • Ty Gibbs leads all active drivers in average start position (7.25), followed closely by Denny Hamlin (7.3).
  • Brad Keselowski is the active leader in average finishing position (10.7).

Odds movement & market notes

  • Early bettors can't get enough of Denny Hamlin, knocking him down from +275 to +225. Winning two races in last-to-first fashion will attract that kind of action.
  • Tyler Reddick (+750 to +500) has also garnered plenty of pre-qualifying interest.

Outright picks: Winners to bet

Pick 1: Tyler Reddick to win (+550)

Toss his last trip to Pocono, where brake issues ruined his day.

  • Track Fit: Top 10 in four straight races here from 2021-24.
  • Recent Form: Fourth at Charlotte and sixth at Nashville before wrecking at Michigan.
  • Market Value: I'm comfortable at +450.

Risk: Betting against Denny Hamlin carries significant risk right now.

Pick made on Saturday, 6-13.

Pick 2: Kyle Larson to win (+750)

A fair price on the No. 5 to find Victory Lane again.

  • Track Fit: Has missed out on points in Stage 2 just once since 2017 (12 races). 
  • Recent Form: Fresh off his fifth Top 5 of the season.
  • Market Value: +600 is as low as I'd go.

Risk: The same risk as the Reddick bet.

Pick made on Saturday, 6-13.


Best Top 5 bet

Pick: Ty Gibbs to finish Top 5 (+185)

Gibbs' breakout season continues.

  • Track Fit: Fifth in 2023, engine failure with strong car in '24, decent 14th in poor '25 season.
  • Recent Form: Led laps in three of last six races.
  • Market Value: +150 is the cutoff point.

Risk: Pocono typically rewards drivers with far more experience.

Pick made on Saturday, 6-13.


Best matchup & head-to-head bet

Pick: Chase Elliott (+180) over Denny Hamlin 

Elliott should not be priced this long.

  • Matchup Advantage: Elliott's second to Hamlin in average rating despite huge gap in starting position last three Pocono races (21.3 vs. 4.3).
  • Key Stat: I'd still play it at +160.

Risk: Hamlin's been the best driver in NASCAR by a mile over the last two weeks.

Pick made on Saturday, 6-13.


How to watch the Great American Getaway 400

Location: Pocono Raceway, Long Pond, PA
Date: Sunday, June 14, 2026
Start time: 3 p.m. ET
TV: Prime Video

Check out the full weekend schedule for the 2026 Great American Getaway 400.


Pocono Raceway weather

There's a 65% chance of rain at Pocono Raceway on Sunday, with precipitation picking up closer to the end of the race. The high temperature is expected to be 79 degrees.


Previous Great American Getaway 400 winners

Year Winner Manufacturer
2025 Chase Briscoe Toyota
2024 Ryan Blaney Ford
2023 Denny Hamlin Toyota
2022 Chase Elliott Chevrolet
2021 Kyle Busch Toyota

Great American Getaway 400 betting FAQ

When is the 2026 Great American Getaway 400?

The Great American Getaway 400 goes off at 3 p.m. ET on Sunday, June 14.

Where will the 2026 Great American Getaway 400 be held?

Pocono Raceway is the site for the Great American Getaway 400.

Who is the 2026 Great American Getaway 400 favorite?

Denny Hamlin is favored to win the Great American Getaway 400.

Who won the Great American Getaway 400 last year?

Chase Briscoe took the checkered flag in last year's Great American Getaway 400.

How do Great American Getaway 400 prop bets work?

Top 3, Top 5, and Top 10 markets are in play, as well as head-to-head driver matchups.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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