NASCAR odds are live for the Season Finale 500, Sunday at Phoenix Raceway. The whole Cup Series season comes down to this race, with four drivers still vying for the 2020 championship.
Action is sure to be fast and furious (pardon the pun), so Covers Experts' Auto Racing Advisor is here to break down the field with his Season Finale 500 picks and betting predictions, with the green flag set to drop at 3:00 p.m. ET.
NASCAR betting odds for Season Finale 500
| Driver | Odds to Win |
|---|---|
| Kevin Harvick | +300 |
| Kyle Busch | +550 |
| Denny Hamlin | +600 |
| Chase Elliott | +700 |
| Joey Logano | +850 |
| Brad Keselowski | +1,000 |
| Martin Truex Jr. | +1,000 |
| Ryan Blaney | +1,400 |
| Kurt Busch | +2,500 |
| Aric Almirola | +3,000 |
| Alex Bowman | +3,000 |
| William Byron | +3,300 |
| Erik Jones | +4,000 |
| Clint Bowyer | +5,000 |
| Jimmie Johnson | +5,000 |
| Cole Custer | +6,600 |
| Matt DiBenedetto | +6,600 |
| Christopher Bell | +8,000 |
| Matt Kenseth | +8,000 |
| Ryan Newman | +10,000 |
| Tyler Reddick | +10,000 |
| Austin Dillon | +12,500 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | +20,000 |
| Chris Buescher | +30,000 |
| Bubba Wallace | +35,000 |
| Ty Dillon | +40,000 |
| Ryan Preece | +50,000 |
| Michael McDowell | +75,000 |
| John H. Nemechek | +75,000 |
| Daniel Suarez | +75,000 |
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
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Who Will Win Sunday's Season Finale 500?
Favorites to Bet
Kevin Harvick (+300)
The proverbial “king of the desert” has been astounding in Phoenix. Since 2012, Harvick has seven wins, along with 10 Top-2 finishes (17 tries). Furthermore, Harvick has finished worse than sixth just twice in those 17 starts too. He was runner-up this past spring after leading 67 laps.
Harvick can attempt to become just the sixth driver to win 10 or more races at a single track with a win this weekend.
Denny Hamlin (+600)
The Joe Gibbs Racing driver has seven Top-10 finishes in his last 10 starts in the desert. He was fifth and first respectively on this track last year, but 20th in March.
Joey Logano (+850)
He won this race this past March for his second win at Phoenix. He also has four straight Top 10s on the season, including three in the Top 3. He's also had five Top-3 finishes in nine playoff races thus far. He won the opening race of the Round of 8 and the last time he did that (2018), he won the championship too.
Long Shots to Bet
Brad Keselowski (+1,000)
He enters with three straight Top-6 finishes on the season and three wins on 750-horsepower tracks this season. He's bringing the car that has won on two of them at that. He finished runner-up in this race two years ago and led over 80 laps this past spring.
Martin Truex Jr. (+1,000)
He’s never won at Phoenix before and frankly, until he joined Joe Gibbs Racing, he never was much of a threat there either. But Truex has since finished third in the fall of 2017, fifth in the spring race of 2018, runner-up in last year’s spring race and sixth in November to make himself a viable “favorite" for this weekend.
Stat to Watch
Starting position matters here. Five of the last six Phoenix winners have come from a Top-10 starting spot. In fact, nine of the last 12 have started in the first five rows, including six of those nine from the Top 4 starting spots.
Joe Gibbs Racing has won three of the last four races in Phoenix including four of the last six too. Watch out for their foursome on Sunday, with Hamlin needing a win for the championship.
The driver to win the spring race in Phoenix has only gone on to win the series championship just three times – Terry Labonte (1984), Dale Earnhardt (1990) and Jeff Gordon (1995). Can Logano change that course?
Also, expect a late race caution. Six of the last 10 races have seen a finale green flag stretch to the finish of three or less laps.
