NASCAR AdventHealth 400 Predictions, Odds & Picks — Kansas Motor Speedway

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst 11+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 19, 2026 , 05:14 PM ET • 4 min read

Tyler Reddick emerged victorious yet again after an overtime restart in Kansas.

NASCAR Cup Series Tyler Reddick
Photo By - Reuters Connect. NASCAR driver Tyler Reddick (45) during practice at Martinsville Speedway

Last updated: Sunday, April 19 at 5:15 p.m. ET.

🏁AdventHealth 400: Key takeaways

  • Outright winner: Tyler Reddick (+370) looked like he was going to come up just short, but overtook Kyle Larson after the overtime restart to win once again.
  • Podium: Larson finished second after jumping out during the restart, with Chase Briscoe rounding out the podium in third. Denny Hamlin, who appeared to have the race in hand, finished fourth after the restart.
  • Track: Get to the lead and stay there with clean air on your side.
  • Weather: Ideal conditions are expected.

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AdventHealth 400 odds: Favorites & full field

The AdventHealth 400 runs at 2:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, April 19. Below are the latest outright odds, followed by the picks and market-by-market best bets we like this week.

Driver DraftKings
Tyler Reddick +370
Kyle Larson +425
Denny Hamlin +450
Christopher Bell +650
Carson Hocevar +1200
Chase Elliott +1300
Ryan Blaney +1400
Chase Briscoe +1400
Bubba Wallace +1400
William Byron +1600
Ty Gibbs +1800
Chris Buescher +2500
Ryan Preece +3000
Joey Logano +3500
Ross Chastain +3500
Brad Keselowski +4500
Kyle Busch +6000
Austin Cindric +9000
Alex Bowman +9000
Corey Heim +10000

Odds as of 4-19.

Check out the full AdventHealth 400 qualifying order here.


Best bets card (updated Sunday)

  • Top 5: Ty Gibbs (+235)
  • Outright: Christopher Bell (+650)
  • Outright: Tyler Reddick (+750)
  • Top 5: Brad Keselowski (+380)
  • Matchup: William Byron (-105) over Ryan Blaney

Who's hot? Who's not?

  • 🔥 Ty Gibbs — Last week's winner has been sixth or better in six straight.
  • 🔥 Ryan Preece — Average finish of 11.4 over the last five races.
  • ❄️ Bubba Wallace — Outside the Top 10 in three consecutive races.
  • ❄️ Michael McDowell — 18th or worse in four straight events.

Track breakdown: What wins at Kansas Motor Speedway?

Kansas is one of the bread-and-butter 1 1/2-mile ovals in the NASCAR Cup Series, and results at such tracks are a bit less chaotic than at short tracks or drafting venues. Past results are more reliable, and being able to race in clean air is key. 

  • Goodyear introduced new right-side tires at last fall's Kansas race, in the hopes of increasing strategy options. The same tire setup was used at Las Vegas as well as Darlington earlier this season.
  • Success at Las Vegas, a very similar oval, often goes hand-in-hand with success at Kansas.

Key stats & driver profiles to target

  • Pole sitters have won 20% of all Cup Series races held at Kansas.
  • Chevrolet leads all manufacturers with 17 wins at Kansas. Toyota and Ford have combined for 21.

Drivers to watch

  • Kyle Larson won the race from the pole here last spring.
  • Chase Elliott holds the average speed record here, set at 152.057 mph on October 21, 2018.

Odds movement & market notes

  • Tyler Reddick continues to take action in the betting, falling below +400 after winning the pole.
  • Ryan Blaney's odds rose from +900 to +1400 after qualifying ninth. 
  • Early money has favored Denny Hamlin and Kyle Larson, with the former going from +500 at opening to +450, and the latter from +600 to +500.
  • Tyler Reddick also saw plenty of early action, going from +1000 to +750.
  • Chase Briscoe and William Byron have each gone from +850 to +1000 over the course of the week.

Outright picks: Winners to bet

Pick 1: Christopher Bell (+650)

Bell is tough to beat at intermediate ovals.

  • Track Fit: Tops in average finish among active drivers last four trips here.
  • Recent Form: Seventh or better in four of last six overall.
  • Market Value: Playable down to +450.

Risk: Has yet to win at Kansas.

Pick 2: Tyler Reddick (+750)

Reddick can build on an incredible year.

  • Track Fit: Won the most recent intermediate race (Darlington).
  • Recent Form: Winningest driver in 2026.
  • Market Value: Could shrink post-qualifying.

Risk: Larson has won two straight editions of this race.


Best Top 5 bets

Pick 1: Brad Keselowski (+380)

Keselowski has been fast at intermediate ovals of late.

  • Track Fit: Two career victories at Kansas.
  • Recent Form: Four straight Top 10s at intermediate tracks.
  • Market Value: Playable down to +250.

Risk: RFK's Racing speed can suddenly disappear.

Pick 2: Ty Gibbs (+235)

Gibbs goes for sixth Top 5 in seven races.

  • Track Fit: Fifth at Vegas, very similar to Kansas, earlier this year.
  • Recent Form: Last week's winner hasn't missed Top 10 in six races.
  • Market Value: Playable down to +200.

Risk: Market is surprisingly chilly on him.


Best matchup & head-to-head bets

Pick: William Byron (-105) over Ryan Blaney

Byron can shake off a rough day at Bristol at a fair price.

  • Matchup Advantage: Chevys have had the recent edge here.
  • Key Stat: Byron is 9-for-13 regarding recent Top 10s Kansas, Blaney is 4-for-13.

Risk: Blaney has only missed the Top 10 twice in 2026.


Best Top 10 parlay

Tyler Reddick

Ty Gibbs

Brad Keselowski

This is the best way to take advantage of all the steam on Reddick. Gibbs rolls off the grid just behind the pole sitter, and these two have been NASCAR's most consistent drivers all season. 

Keselowski has some work to do from 21st, but that's why you're getting these generous odds. However, he started 28th at Vegas earlier this year and still cracked the Top 10.


How to watch the AdventHealth 400

Location: Kansas Motor Speedway, Kansas City, KS
Date: Sunday, April 19, 2026
Start time: 2:00 p.m. ET
TV: FS1

Check out the full weekend schedule for the 2026 AdventHealth 400.


Kansas Motor Speedway weather

There is no chance of rain in Kansas City, KS today. The temperature is expected to be 71 degrees with light winds.


Previous AdventHealth 400 winners

Year Winner Manufacturer
2025 Kyle Larson Chevrolet
2024 Kyle Larson Chevrolet
2023 Denny Hamlin Toyota
2022 Kurt Busch Toyota
2021 Kyle Busch Toyota

AdventHealth 400 betting FAQ

When is the 2026 AdventHealth 400?

The AdventHealth 400 is set for 2:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, April 19, 2026.

Where will the 2026 AdventHealth 400 be held?

Kansas Motor Speedway in Kansas City, KS is the venue for the AdventHealth 400.

Who is the 2026 AdventHealth 400 favorite?

Tyler Reddick is the +370 favorite for the AdventHealth 400.

Who won the AdventHealth 400 last year?

Kyle Larson took the AdventHealth 400 last year, his second straight victory in the race.

How do AdventHealth 400 prop bets work?

There are numerous NASCAR prop bets to wager on ahead of the AdventHealth 400, including head-to-head matchups, and wagers on drivers to place in the Top 3, Top 5, or Top 10.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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