NASCAR AdventHealth 400 Predictions, Odds & Picks — Kansas Motor Speedway

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst 11+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 18, 2026 , 06:05 AM ET • 4 min read

Robert Criscola tells you which drivers to back and which to fade ahead of the AdventHealth 400!

NASCAR Cup Series Tyler Reddick
Photo By - Reuters Connect. NASCAR Cup Series driver Tyler Reddick.

🏁AdventHealth 400: Key takeaways

  • Best pre-qualifying bet: Christopher Bell (+650) — Top 5 in four straight at Kansas and Las Vegas.
  • Best pre-qualifying value: Tyler Reddick (+750) — 2023 winner is still top-of-the-board this year.
  • Best pre-qualifying prop bet: Brad Keselowski Top 5 (+380) — four straight Top 10s at intermediate tracks.
  • Track: Get to the lead and stay there with clean air on your side.
  • Weather: Ideal conditions are expected.

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AdventHealth 400 odds: Favorites & full field

The AdventHealth 400 runs at 2:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, April 19. Below are the latest outright odds, followed by the picks and market-by-market best bets we like this week.

Driver DraftKings
Denny Hamlin +450
Kyle Larson +500
Christopher Bell +650
Tyler Reddick +750
Ryan Blaney +900
Chase Briscoe +1000
William Byron +1000
Chase Elliott +1400
Ty Gibbs +1500
Bubba Wallace +1700
Joey Logano +2000
Chris Buescher +2200
Carson Hocevar +2200
Brad Keselowski +3000
Ryan Preece +3000
Austin Cindric +4000
Ross Chastain +4500
Alex Bowman +5500
Kyle Busch +7000
Corey Heim +9000

Odds as of 4-18.

Check out the full AdventHealth 400 field here.


Best bets card (updated Saturday)

  • Outright: Christopher Bell (+650)
  • Outright: Tyler Reddick (+750)
  • Top 5: Brad Keselowski (+380)
  • Matchup: William Byron (-105) over Ryan Blaney

Who's hot? Who's not?

  • 🔥 Ty Gibbs — Last week's winner has been sixth or better in six straight.
  • 🔥 Ryan Preece — Average finish of 11.4 over last five races.
  • ❄️ Bubba Wallace — Outside the Top 10 in three consecutive races.
  • ❄️ Michael McDowell — 18th or worse in four straight events.

Track breakdown: What wins at Kansas Motor Speedway?

Kansas is one of the bread-and-butter 1 1/2-mile ovals in the NASCAR Cup Series, and results at such tracks are a bit less chaotic than at short tracks or drafting venues. Past results are more reliable, and being able to race in clean air is key. 

  • Goodyear introduced new right-side tires at last fall's Kansas race, in the hopes of increasing strategy options. The same tire setup was used at Las Vegas as well as Darlington earlier this season.
  • Success at Las Vegas, a very similar oval, often goes hand-in-hand with success at Kansas.

Key stats & driver profiles to target

  • Pole sitters have won 20% of all Cup Series races held at Kansas.
  • Chevrolet leads all manufacturers with 17 wins at Kansas. Toyota and Ford have combined for 21.

Drivers to watch

  • Kyle Larson won the race from the pole here last spring.
  • Chase Elliott holds the average speed record here, set at 152.057 mph on October 21, 2018.

Odds movement & market notes

  • Early money has favored Denny Hamlin and Kyle Larson, with the former going from +500 at opening to +450, and the latter from +600 to +500.
  • Tyler Reddick also saw plenty of early action, going from +1000 to +750.
  • Chase Briscoe and William Byron have each gone from +850 to +1000 over the course of the week.

Outright picks: Winners to bet

Pick 1: Christopher Bell (+650)

Bell is tough to beat at intermediate ovals.

  • Track Fit: Tops in average finish among active drivers last four trips here.
  • Recent Form: Seventh or better in four of last six overall.
  • Market Value: Playable down to +450.

Risk: Has yet to win at Kansas.

Pick 2: Tyler Reddick (+750)

Reddick can build on an incredible year.

  • Track Fit: Won the most recent intermediate race (Darlington).
  • Recent Form: Winningest driver in 2026.
  • Market Value: Could shrink post-qualifying.

Risk: Larson has won two straight editions of this race.


Best Top 5 bet

Pick: Brad Keselowski (+380)

Keselowski has been fast at intermediate ovals of late.

  • Track Fit: Two career victories at Kansas.
  • Recent Form: Four straight Top 10s at intermediate tracks.
  • Market Value: Playable down to +250.

Risk: RFK's Racing speed can suddenly disappear.


Best matchup & head-to-head bets

Pick: William Byron (-105) over Ryan Blaney

Byron can shake off a rough day at Bristol at a fair price.

  • Matchup Advantage: Chevys have had the recent edge here.
  • Key Stat: Byron is 9-for-13 regarding recent Top 10s Kansas, Blaney is 4-for-13.

Risk: Blaney has only missed the Top 10 twice in 2026.


How to watch the AdventHealth 400

Location: Kansas Motor Speedway, Kansas City, KS
Date: Sunday, April 19, 2026
Start time: 2:00 p.m. ET
TV: FS1

Check out the full weekend schedule for the 2026 AdventHealth 400.


Kansas Motor Speedway weather

There is no chance of rain in Kansas City, KS this Sunday. The temperature is expected to be 68 degrees with 10 mph winds.


Previous AdventHealth 400 winners

Year Winner Manufacturer
2025 Kyle Larson Chevrolet
2024 Kyle Larson Chevrolet
2023 Denny Hamlin Toyota
2022 Kurt Busch Toyota
2021 Kyle Busch Toyota

AdventHealth 400 betting FAQ

When is the 2026 AdventHealth 400?

The AdventHealth 400 is set for 2:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, April 19, 2026.

Where will the 2026 AdventHealth 400 be held?

Kansas Motor Speedway in Kansas City, KS is the venue for the AdventHealth 400.

Who is the 2026 AdventHealth 400 favorite?

Denny Hamlin is the +450 favorite for the AdventHealth 400.

Who won the AdventHealth 400 last year?

Kyle Larson took the AdventHealth 400 last year, his second straight victory in the race.

How do AdventHealth 400 prop bets work?

There are numerous NASCAR prop bets to wager on ahead of the AdventHealth 400, including head-to-head matchups, and wagers on drivers to place in the Top 3, Top 5, or Top 10.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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