🏁Coke Zero Sugar 400: Key takeaways
- Best pre-qualifying prediction: Bubba Wallace to win (5%) — has found the front in 10 of last 11 Daytona races.
- Best pre-qualifying value: Josh Berry to win (2%) — too low a price for a driver this hot.
- Best pre-qualifying prop: Corey Heim Top 10 (22%) — late wreck in Daytona 500 helps to obscure his form.
- Track: It's all about navigating chaos and staying on strategy with your manufacturer and/or teammates.
- Weather: Thunderstorms threaten to delay the race.
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Coke Zero Sugar 400 odds: Favorites & full field
Check out the full Coke Zero Sugar 400 field. Keep in mind that NASCAR limits field size to 40 cars, meaning one of the 41 entrants will be eliminated in qualifying.
| Driver Name |  Probability |
|---|---|
| Ryan Blaney | 7% |
| Joey Logano | 6% |
| William Byron | 6% |
| Christopher Bell | 5% |
| Kyle Larson | 5% |
| Austin Cindric | 5% |
| Chase Elliott | 5% |
| Chase Briscoe | 5% |
| Tyler Reddick | 5% |
| Denny Hamlin | 5% |
Odds as of 8-28. Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.
Kalshi is a regulated financial exchange where you trade on real-world event outcomes. Instead of traditional odds, prices are listed as percentages (0-100%), representing the market’s estimated probability of an event occurring.
Coke Zero Sugar 400 predictions (updated Friday)
- Outright: Bubba Wallace (5%)
- Outright: Josh Berry (2%)
- Top 10: Chris Buescher (35%)
- Top 10: Corey Heim (22%)
Who's hot? Who's not?
- 🔥 Christopher Bell — Top 5 in six of last eight races.
- ❄️ Ricky Stenhouse Jr. — 11 straight races without a Top 10.
Track breakdown: What wins at Daytona International Speedway?
- NASCAR has reduced the rear spoiler and lowered the horsepower for this race in the hopes of lessening the importance of fuel conservation while making lane changes and passes more common.
- The closer to the front you are, the less likely you are to get collected in "The Big One."
Key stats & driver profiles to target
- A Top 10 starting position has accounted for nearly 73% of all wins at Daytona.
- Five of the last eight Daytona summer race winners recorded their first win of the season.
Drivers to watch
- Chase Elliott leads all active drivers in average starting position at Daytona (11.3).
Odds movement & market notes
- Tyler Reddick (5%) could see a slight bump if he qualifies well, and he's second in average starting position this year. He's the defending Daytona 500 winner.
- Shane Van Gisbergen (1%) is one of the "bubble" drivers looking to clinch a playoff berth this week. Look for him to take action if he qualifies well.
Outright picks: Winner predictions
Pick 1: Bubba Wallace to win (5%)
Has done everything but win at Daytona.
- Track Fit: Top 10 in three straight races where he did not wreck.
- Recent Form: Exits a second in New Hampshire, his 11th Top 10 of '26.
- Market Value: Draw the line at 8%.
Risk: Three wins all-time in the Cup Series.
Pick made on Friday, 8-28.
Pick 2: Josh Berry to win (2%)
Ride with the hot hand.
- Track Fit: Ninth in back-to-back starts here.
- Recent Form: Four straight Top 10s heading into Saturday.
- Market Value: Play to 4%.
Risk: Only one career Cup Series win to his credit.
Pick made on Friday, 8-28.
Best top finish predictions
Pick 1: Chris Buescher to finish Top 10 (35%)
As steady as they get at Daytona.
- Track Fit: Top 10 in six of last seven visits.
- Recent Form: No Top 10s L5, but hasn't missed Top 10 at a superspeedway in '26.
- Market Value: Playable at 40%.
Risk: Last oval win came in 2023.
Pick made on Friday, 8-28.
Pick 2: Corey Heim to finish Top 10 (22%)
Gifted young pilot getting overlooked.
- Track Fit: Won the '25 Truck Series race here.
- Recent Form: Top 10 in three straight Cup Series starts (two wins).
- Market Value: Lots of room here, play to 28%.
Risk: Small body of work in Cup Series.
Pick made on Friday, 8-28.
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How to watch the Coke Zero Sugar 400
| Location: | Daytona International Speedway, Daytona Beach, FL |
| Date: | Saturday, Aug. 29, 2026 |
| Start time: | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV: | NBC |
Check out the full weekend schedule for the 2026 Coke Zero Sugar 400.
Daytona International Speedway weather
As is to be expected in South Florida in the summer, there's a significant chance of thunderstorms from the late afternoon and into the evening on Saturday, Aug. 29. Keep an eye out for any race day or time changes.
Previous Coke Zero Sugar 400 winners
| Year | Winner | Manufacturer |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Ryan Blaney | Ford |
| 2024 | Harrison Burton | Ford |
| 2023 | Chris Buescher | Ford |
| 2022 | Austin Dillon | Chevrolet |
| 2021 | Ryan Blaney | Ford |
Coke Zero Sugar 400 FAQs
When is the 2026 Coke Zero Sugar 400?
The Coke Zero Sugar 400 will be held at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, Aug. 29.
Where will the 2026 Coke Zero Sugar 400 be held?
Daytona International Speedway is the site for the Coke Zero Sugar 400.
Who is the 2026 Coke Zero Sugar 400 favorite?
Ryan Blaney is favored to win the Coke Zero Sugar 400.
Who won the Coke Zero Sugar 400 last year?
Ryan Blaney is the defending champion of this race.
How do Coke Zero Sugar 400 props work?
You can predict which drivers will finish in the Top 3, 5, or 10, in addition to outright picks.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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