After a three-run eighth inning, the Chicago White Sox (46-68) took Game 1 of a three-game series against a struggling New York Yankees (58-55) team that can’t seem to score runs when it counts.
With the White Sox 14 games back in the AL Central and 18 back in the Wild Card race, they’re playing for pride at this point heading into Game 2 at Guaranteed Rate Field. The Yanks, on the other hand, need to get it together before it’s too late… they’re 5.5 back for the final spot in the AL Wild Card.
Find out where my best bets lie in our MLB picks and predictions for Yankees vs. White Sox on Tuesday, August 8.
Yankees vs White Sox odds
Yankees vs White Sox predictions
Despite having the second-highest payroll in Major League Baseball, the Pinstripes' efforts haven’t paid off.
They’ve been one of the most frustrating teams in baseball with sporadic pitching and inconsistent hitting. However, one of the few players who seems to show up each day for the Evil Empire has been Gleyber Torres.
The two-time All-Star has 13 hits, three doubles, and two home runs in New York’s seven August games and has had at least two total bases in five of those performances.
With Touki Toussaint pitching for the Pale Hose tonight, Torres is poised to continue his strong play.
Toussaint doesn’t lean on any one pitch too heavily with his top three pitches being used over 20% of the time. His go-to has been his curveball (32.6% this season) followed by his four-seam fastball (27%) and sinker (21.8%).
There’s no pitch Torres likes better in 2023 than the curveball. He’s batting .467 against it with a .533 slugging percentage, and .497 wOBA.
Given his success against Toussaint’s favorite pitch, the ChiSox pitcher might go to his fastball, but even then, Torres has a .559 slugging percentage and .383 wOBA against it with 16 home runs, nine doubles, and two triples this season.
Then there’s the sinker, which the Yankees second baseman has a .329 average, .539 slugging percentage, and .431 wOBA against this season.
Even if the Yankees can’t score, Torres is in a position to put together another admirable performance in a matchup that should consistently play to his strengths.
My best bet: Gleyber Torres Over 1.5 total bases (+105)
Yankees vs White Sox same-game parlay
Gleyber Torres Over 1.5 total bases (+100)
Under 8.5 runs (+100)
Under 16.5 hits (+100)
Since returning from the All-Star break, the Bronx Bombers are 9-13 and have scored fewer than five runs 14 times.
The only thing the Yankees have been consistent with this season has been hitting the Under. They’ve hit the team total Under in 32 of their last 50 games and the game total Under in 37 of their last 69.
As a team, they’re batting an abysmal .231 this season, second worst in the majors behind the Oakland A’s, and have only gone Over eight hits six times in their last 22 games.
If New York didn’t have Torres, it could be a lot worse. Manager Aaron Boone mentioned his consistency when talking about him being an All-Star snub this year.
“I feel like his at-bats all year long have been really consistent,” Boone said. “Hopefully he continues that and the ball bounces his way a little bit more moving forward because I feel like offensively, he’s been really strong for us.”
With the Yankees trotting out Clarke Schmidt to start against Chicago, the White Sox, another inconsistent offensive team, may struggle with his sweeper and cutter.
Chicago is in the back half of the league in hits this season thanks to the team’s .237 average. They’ve also scored less than five runs in 13 of their last 22 games since the return.
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Yankees vs White Sox moneyline and Over/Under analysis
The White Sox closed as between +130 and +146 home underdogs in their 5-1 win over the Yankees on Monday night, but they’re home dogs again despite the victory.
Game 2 opened with the Yankees between -130 and -150 with the line only shifting in their favor. They’re now being offered by most books between -150 and -167… keep in mind they’ve only hit the moneyline in 22 of their last 52 games
The White Sox, who have hit the moneyline in three of their last five games, can be had around +135 pretty much everywhere.
The total is 8.5 and 9 at just about every book, with the Under being offered at +110 in some places.
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Trend to know
The White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 76 games (+14.15 Units / 17% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. White Sox
Yankees vs White Sox game info
| Location: | Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago, IL |
| Date: | Tuesday, August 8, 2023 |
| First pitch: | 8:10 p.m. ET |
| TV: | YES, NBC Sports Chicago |
Starting pitchers
Clarke Schmidt (7-6, 4.35 ERA): The 27-year-old Schmidt has been the Yankees' second most consistent pitcher this season after Cy Young favorite Gerrit Cole. In just his second full season with the club, he’s proven worthy of being in the rotation going forward with 103 strikeouts in 109 2/3 innings. After showing potential out of the bullpen last season, Schmidt has been up and down in 2023, going at least six innings just three times, but giving up five or fewer hits 15 times in 22 starts. While not an inning eater, Schmidt rarely gets shelled, so if the Yankees can give him run support, he can get the win.
Touki Toussaint (1-4, 3.92 ERA): Since the White Sox acquired the 27-year-old Toussaint from the Guardians, he’s been used both in relief and as a starter. In his five starts in Chi-town, Toussaint has gone six innings just once and has given up 13 earned runs, 20 hits, and 14 walks in 21 innings. Despite his inconsistencies, he’s shown promise; he pitched five scoreless innings on July 28 against the Guardians. But he followed that up by giving up two home runs and four walks in 5 1/3 innings in his last start against the Rangers.
