The New York Yankees and Chicago White Sox begin a three-game set at Guaranteed Rate Field tonight as the visitors send ace Gerrit Cole to the mound.
Cole enters play with a 10-2 record and a 2.64 ERA — the second-best mark in the majors behind only San Diego’s Blake Snell (2.61).
Does Chicago stand a chance against New York’s Cy Young contender? We’ll discuss in our MLB picks and predictions for Yankees vs. White Sox on Monday, August 7.
Yankees vs White Sox odds
Yankees vs White Sox predictions
Although the White Sox come into tonight’s contest with back-to-back wins over the Guardians, they’ve pretty much been in a rut since returning from the All-Star break. Chicago has just five wins over its last 18 contests and has driven in a mere 82 runs in 21 games since the break — the sixth-worst mark in the majors over that span.
Things won’t get any easier for the White Sox tonight when they face Gerrit Cole, who’s in the midst of his best season in a Yankees uniform. The right-hander has been as consistent as anyone in the majors, holding opponents to two earned runs or fewer in four straight outings and nine of his last 11 starts going back to the beginning of June.
Meanwhile, Chicago put up 12 runs over its last two victories but had scored three runs or fewer in nine of their 12 previous contests. Looking at their roster, it makes sense why the White Sox have struggled to produce much offense — Elvis Andrus leads the way with five RBI over the last week but no one else has more than two across the club’s last six games.
Assuming we see the same old Cole who puts up another solid outing for the Pinstripes, I don’t foresee the White Sox scoring more than three runs in this matchup. Because, in addition to limiting damage, Cole has consistently pitched deep into games, completing at least six innings in 11 of his last 12 outings. And when he does pass the ball to the bullpen, the Yankees are in good shape as New York relievers own the best ERA in MLB at 3.07 with Seattle's bullpen a distant second at 3.51.
My best bet: White Sox team total Under 3.5 (-140 at DraftKings)
Yankees vs White Sox same-game parlay
White Sox team total Under 3.5 (-145)
Gleyber Torres 2+ total bases (+125)
DJ LeMahieu to get a hit (-195)
We’ll round out today’s same-game parlay by focusing on a couple of hot Yankees hitters in Gleyber Torres and DJ LeMahieu.
LeMahieu enters tonight’s contest on a five-game hit streak with seven knocks over that span. The third baseman has a hit in 18 of his last 22 outings and should be a safe bet to record another tonight.
Meanwhile, Torres has been on fire over the past week with 12 hits, 21 total bases, and a .462 batting average through seven games. The second baseman had seven total bases in his last outing and has at least two bases in five of his last six contests.
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Yankees vs White Sox moneyline and Over/Under analysis
The Yankees opened as -155 chalk and saw their juice jump as high as -175 by Monday morning. With Cole on the mound, I do think New York has the well-deserved edge tonight.
Dylan Cease hasn’t been too bad for the White Sox this year but he’s fallen off over his last two starts, getting rocked for seven hits and seven earned runs over just 1 2/3 innings on August 2 and allowing nine hits and four earned runs through 5 2/3 in the start before that. Cole hasn’t had a meltdown outing like that since May and coupled with Chicago’s sluggish offense, New York should come out on top.
Tonight’s total opened at just 7.5 runs with some books creeping up to 8. Cole will have to be great to keep the total down but we’re going to ride the Yankees starter and take the Under tonight.
Going back to Chicago’s offensive woes, the White Sox have managed to score four runs just once over their last seven contests. Cole and the bullpen will likely need to hold Chicago to two runs at most to keep the total under 8 but that won’t be unreasonable if the Yankees starter can put up six or seven quality innings, which has been the norm for him this year, especially over the last two months.
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Trend to know
The Under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings. Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs White Sox
Yankees vs White Sox game info
| Location: | Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago, IL |
| Date: | Monday, August 7, 2023 |
| First pitch: | 8:10 p.m. ET |
| TV: | YES, NBCS-Chicago |
Starting pitchers
Gerrit Cole (10-2, 2.64 ERA): Cole comes into tonight’s ballgame with 17 quality starts in 23 outings, tied for the MLB lead in that category with San Francisco’s Logan Webb. The right-hander has pitched at least six innings in six straight starts and 11 of his last 12 outings.
Dylan Cease (4-5, 4.61 ERA): Cease will hope to rebound from a couple of rough starts and regain his form from earlier this season. He’s surrendered at least four earned runs in three of his last five appearances with a whopping 18 runs allowed over his last 24 1/3 innings.
