Yankees vs Indians Picks: Backing the Bombers

Apr 23, 2021 |
Yankees vs Indians Picks: Backing the Bombers
Despite a dismal start, Aaron Judge and the Yankees lineup are one of the best-hitting units in the MLB, and can only be subject to bad variance for so long.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports
Despite a dismal start, Aaron Judge and the Yankees lineup are one of the best-hitting units in the MLB, and can only be subject to bad variance for so long.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees finally broke out of their scoring slump with a 6-3 win against the Cleveland Indians last night and will be looking to repeat that success on Friday in the second game of their series.

Oddsmakers expect the Yankees to win again with MLB betting lines installing New York as a -150 favorite with an Over/Under of 8.5.

Here are our best free Yankees vs. Indians picks and predictions for Friday, April 23, with the first pitch at 7:10 p.m. ET. 

Yankees vs Indians odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

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MLB sharp money and line movement report

By Patrick Everson

New York opened -135 Thursday afternoon at PointsBet USA, briefly went to -130, then stretched out to -150 a couple of times, and -150 is where the moneyline sits at 4:15 p.m. ET. The Yankees are taking 52 percent of tickets and 68 percent of money. The total moved from 8.5 to 8 a couple of times and is now 8.5 (Under -115), with 55 percent of tickets on the Over and 66 percent of money on the Under.

Check out the full line movement for this game

Yankees vs Indians betting preview

Starting pitchers

Jordan Montgomery (1-1, 4.24 ERA): Montgomery is coming off a six-inning performance against the Rays where he struck out seven and allowed just two hits. Unfortunately, both hits were two-run homers, so he surrendered a total of four earned runs and received a big L for his efforts.

The 28-year-old southpaw went 2-3 with a 5.11 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in 10 starts last season. 

Logan Allen (1-2, 4.50 ERA): Allen was roughed up for five runs (three earned) before getting the hook after just two innings in his previous start last Friday.

The 23-year-old came over in the Trevor Bauer trade, and while he isn't overpowering, he has a solid arsenal of pitches and looked very sharp in the preseason, allowing just one run and nine hits through 14 innings. 

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Yankees: Miguel Andujar 3B (Out), Zack Britton RP (Out), Luke Voit 1B (Out).
Indians: Cam Hill RP (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

Cleveland is 6-25 in its last 31 games as an underdog. Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. Indians.

Moneyline pick

While a six-run performance might not seem that impressive, it was much-needed for a Yankees squad that has been brutal at the plate this season. That said, Cleveland has been just as bad at the plate, ranking 27th in the majors with a batting average of .210 and plating just 3.91 runs per game.

When you look at the recent history of both teams, the Tribe have been a low-scoring team for the last few years while the Yankees are typically one of the best hitting teams in the majors.

New York sluggers like Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, and Gary Sanchez have a proven track record for mashing, while DJ LeMahieu has a combined batting average of .336 over the last two years.

We're expecting the Bronx Bombers to get back on track eventually, while Cleveland's hitters could be mired in mediocrity for the rest of the season. 

Yankees starter Jordan Montgomery is coming off a shaky outing, but his analytics have looked great this season, as he has a 0.88 WHIP while his hard contact rate of 30.2 percent ranks eighth among all qualifying pitchers according to Statcast. 

With the Yankees 4-0 in the last four meetings between these teams in Cleveland, back them on the moneyline. 

PREDICTION: ML NY Yankees (-150)

Over/Under pick

While neither starting pitcher has been great, they have both flashed potential and both happen to be southpaws.

Both teams have been absolutely brutal against left-handers this season, with the Yankees ranking 25th in the majors with an OPS of .651, and Cleveland batting .208. 

Both New York and Cleveland also have terrific bullpens. Yankees relievers have pitched to a major-league best 2.19 ERA with a WHIP of 0.99 and an opponent batting average of .183. And the Tribe relievers are sixth in the majors with an ERA of 3.29.

Although the Yankees scored six runs last night, that was the first time they had plated more than four runs in a game since April 11. They have now gone 13-6 to the Under in their last 19 games overall while Cleveland is 9-4 to the Under in its previous 13 games against a left-handed starter. Take the Under. 

PREDICTION: Under 8.5 (-115)

Yankees vs Indians betting card

  • ML NY Yankees (-150)
  • Under 8.5 (-115)

Picks made on 4/23/2021 at 11:00 a.m. ET

MLB parlays

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