MLB Picks

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team playing today.. Hunter Goodman's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 33.6% to 39.6%.

+240 at DraftKings

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STL

Sun, Aug 24 • 12:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)

Projection 0.7 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 91st percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all parks, George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest average fence height.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Brandon Lowe pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

+155 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)

Projection 0.5 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +215

Pick made: 37 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +215

o0.5 +210

As it relates to his home run ability, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Among all parks, George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest average fence height.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Pepiot today.. Nolan Gorman pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

+215 at DraftKings

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NYM

ATL

Sun, Aug 24 • 1:35 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)

Projection 0.7 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +185

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Matt Olson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

+190 at Caesars

Total RBIs

Marcell Ozuna o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)

Projection 0.7 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°.. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Marcell Ozuna will have an edge in today's matchup.

+175 at DraftKings

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WAS

PHI

Sun, Aug 24 • 1:35 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

J.T. Realmuto o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)

Projection 0.7 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +145

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +145

o0.5 +135

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 10th-best field in the game for run-scoring.. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°.

+145 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Paul DeJong o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)

Projection 0.5 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +200

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +200

Paul DeJong has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (58% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 10th-best field in the game for run-scoring.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°.. Paul DeJong will hold the platoon advantage over Ranger Suarez today.. Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

+200 at DraftKings

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HOU

BAL

Sun, Aug 24 • 1:35 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Dylan Carlson o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)

Projection 0.5 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +245

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +245

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #5 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's CF fences are the 3rd-shallowest.. Dylan Carlson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Dylan Carlson has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph mark.. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.7°, Dylan Carlson has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 40.3° mark in the past week.

+245 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Dylan Beavers o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)

Projection 0.5 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +255

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +255

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #5 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The shallowest RF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Batting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Dylan Beavers will have an edge in today's matchup.. Dylan Beavers will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.. Over the last 14 days, Dylan Beavers has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .432.

+255 at DraftKings

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TOR

MIA

Sun, Aug 24 • 1:40 PM ET

6 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)

Projection 0.6 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. In the last week's worth of games, Alejandro Kirk's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.6% up to 23.1%.. Alejandro Kirk has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last season's 89.3-mph figure.. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Alejandro Kirk's 32% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.9%.

+175 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)

Projection 0.5 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +230

Pick made: 36 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +230

o0.5 +210

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 80th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Heriberto Hernandez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Heriberto Hernandez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Using Statcast metrics, Heriberto Hernandez grades out in the 83rd percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 24.800.. Heriberto Hernandez has paced 24.5 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 82nd percentile for power.

+230 at DraftKings

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DET

Sun, Aug 24 • 1:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)

Projection 0.7 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +165

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +165

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. Comerica Park has the 4th-shortest fences in MLB.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Riley Greene will have the upper hand today.

+165 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Kerry Carpenter o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)

Projection 0.7 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +140

When estimating his home run talent, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kerry Carpenter is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 4th-shortest fences in MLB.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Kerry Carpenter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo today.

+150 at DraftKings

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MIN

CHW

Sun, Aug 24 • 2:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Strikeouts Thrown

Yoendrys Gomez u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+102)

Projection 4.3 (Under)

Best Odds

u4.5 +105

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u4.5 +105

u4.5 +102

u4.5 +105

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Yoendrys Gomez is projected to throw 78 pitches in today's outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the least of all pitchers today.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #27 stadium in the game for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. The Minnesota Twins have 6 bats in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage over Yoendrys Gomez in today's game.

+105 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)

Projection 0.6 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +175

o0.5 +165

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 6th-best ballpark in the game for run-scoring.. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all major league parks.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

+175 at DraftKings

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CLE

$Texas Rangers logo$ TEX

Sun, Aug 24 • 2:35 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Kyle Manzardo o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)

Projection 0.6 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +180

Pick made: 15 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +180

Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an advantage in today's matchup.. The Texas Rangers infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams in action today.. Over the last 14 days, Kyle Manzardo's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.4-mph over the course of the season to 99.2-mph recently.

+180 at DraftKings

Outs Recorded

Merrill Kelly u17.5 Outs Recorded (+115)

Projection 16.4 (Under)

Best Odds

u17.5 +115

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u17.5 -105

u17.5 +100

u17.5 +115

The Cleveland Guardians have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. With 8 bats of the opposite hand in the opposing team's projected lineup, Merrill Kelly faces a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.. The Texas Rangers infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams in action today.. Merrill Kelly's slider utilization has dropped by 5% from last season to this one (11.8% to 6.8%) .

+115 at Caesars

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CHC

LAA

Sun, Aug 24 • 4:07 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)

Projection 0.8 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +135

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +135

Mike Trout projects as the 16th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. In Major League Baseball, Angel Stadium has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.

+135 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Taylor Ward o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)

Projection 0.7 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Taylor Ward ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Taylor Ward is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. In Major League Baseball, Angel Stadium has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.

+155 at DraftKings

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ATH

SEA

Sun, Aug 24 • 4:10 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Spread

SEA -1.5 (+117)

Best Odds

-1.5 +130

Pick made: 15 hours ago

-1.5 +128

-1.5 +125

-1.5 +122

-1.5 +125

-1.5 +130

Logan Gilbert has been lights out against the A's, holding their lineup to a .113/.141/.319 slash line. Seattle is motivated and battling for the top spot in the AL West, so expect the Mariners to pull away.

Strikeouts Thrown

Jacob Lopez u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-115)

Projection 5.7 (Under)

Best Odds

u6.5 -115

Pick made: 15 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u6.5 -115

u6.5 -128

u6.5 -125

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Shea Langeliers (the Athletics's expected catcher in today's matchup) grades out as a weak pitch framer.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. With 7 hitters who bat from the other side in the opposing team's projected lineup, Jacob Lopez will not have the upper hand while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's matchup.. Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jacob Lopez today.. Jacob Lopez's 90.1-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 9th percentile among all starting pitchers.

-115 at DraftKings

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LAD

Sun, Aug 24 • 4:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)

Projection 0.6 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +200

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +200

Teoscar Hernandez's BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all stadiums, Petco Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Teoscar Hernandez has compiled a .310 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, grading out in the 79th percentile.

+200 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Will Smith o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)

Projection 0.6 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +190

o0.5 +175

Will Smith projects as the 20th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Will Smith is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Among all stadiums, Petco Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Will Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Placing in the 96th percentile, Will Smith has posted a .384 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

+190 at DraftKings

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CIN

Sun, Aug 24 • 4:10 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

MoneyLine

AZ (-125)

Best Odds

-130

Pick made: 15 hours ago

-132

-130

-135

-130

While Zac Gallen’s 2025 numbers aren't pretty, the veteran right-hander has fared well against Cincy in the past, holding them to a lifetime OPS of .481. I'm taking the Dbacks at home in this series finale.

Total RBIs

Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)

Projection 0.7 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +160

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +160

Ketel Marte projects as the 10th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. Chase Field projects as the #2 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Ketel Marte will hold that advantage in today's game.

+160 at DraftKings

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BOS

NYY

Sun, Aug 24 • 7:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Roman Anthony o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)

Projection 0.5 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +230

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +230

Roman Anthony's BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Roman Anthony is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. In MLB, Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Roman Anthony has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.. Roman Anthony has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 14.5% seasonal rate to 29.6% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

+230 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Giancarlo Stanton o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)

Projection 0.7 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating