The Detroit Tigers and Minnesota Twins play the third game in a four-game set today at Target Field.
Detroit signed Framber Valdez to a three-year, $115-million contract in February, and my Tigers vs. Twins predictions expect him to live up to that billing tonight.
Here are my best free MLB picks for this AL Central showdown on Wednesday, April 8.
Who will win Tigers vs Twins today: Tigers moneyline (-138)
Framber Valdez logged a 3.37 FIP last year and has looked even sharper this season, posting a 2.24 FIP through two starts with the Detroit Tigers.
The Minnesota Twins counter with Bailey Ober, who had a 5.10 ERA with an OBA of .275 last year. He's off to another rough season, surrendering three runs in four innings in both of his starts.
These teams have been mediocre at the dish, but Detroit has the superior lineup on paper, and analytics indicate positive regression. The Tigers are seventh in the majors in xSLG (.411) while the Twins are 27th (.345).
COVERS INTEL: Minnesota has been terrible against lefties like Valdez, batting just .196 with an OPS of .582.
Tigers vs Twins Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (-117)
Valdez fell apart in the final two months last season but still finished with good overall numbers. He had a 3.06 ERA with two All-Star appearances over the previous three years, and it looks like he's recaptured that form. He'll shut down a Twins lineup that struggles against southpaws.
While Ober had a brutal 5.10 ERA last season, his xERA was 4.36. He also looked much better in the previous two years, pitching to a 3.73 ERA with a 1.03 WHIP across 57 starts.
With neither team impressing at the dish and cool temperatures in Minnesota tonight, back the Under.
- ML/RL bets: 3-3, -0.7 units
- Over/Under bets: 2-0, +2 units
Tigers vs Twins odds
- Moneyline: Tigers -138 | Twins +133
- Run line: Tigers -1.5 (+117) | Twins +1.5 (-127)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+113) | Under 8.5 (-117)
Tigers vs Twins trend
The Under is 15-5 in Minnesota's last 20 games (+10.60 Units / 49% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Tigers vs. Twins.
How to watch Tigers vs Twins and game info
| Location | Target Field, Minneapolis, MN |
| Date | Wednesday, April 8, 2026 |
| First pitch | 7:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | FS1 |
| Tigers starting pitcher | Framber Valdez (1-0, 0.75 ERA) |
| Twins starting pitcher | Bailey Ober (0-0, 6.75 ERA) |
Tigers vs Twins latest injuries
Tigers vs Twins weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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