The Detroit Tigers head to Sacramento for a weekend series with the Athletics beginning on Friday.
After Casey Mize was scratched, the betting line has crashed down to Detroit -127.
See why that shallow number is worthy of a buyback with my Tigers vs. Athletics predictions and MLB picks for Friday, July 31.
Who will win Tigers vs Athletics today: Tigers (-131)
There's bad, there's ugly, and then there's the Athletics, who have lost 26 of their last 33 games.
Perhaps Jeffrey Springs will prove to be a difference-maker? Perhaps not - the southpaw has a 6.79 ERA at Sutter Health Park and is winless in his last 17 turns through the rotation.
Still, the Detroit Tigers can be had for a reasonable price after the market pounced on the A's side when projected starter Casey Mize was scratched.
Enter Ty Madden, who's been great (2.72 xERA, 2.99 FIP) across 27 innings in the big leagues. Detroit is fresh off a day of rest, so the bullpen behind him will have every notable arm available.
Play the Tigers to -140.
COVERS INTEL: Jeffrey Springs allows loud contact (19th percentile barrel rate), frequently in the air (10th percentile groundball rate). Detroit's lineup, which ranks sixth in both xSLG and xwOBA since the Break, can make him pay.
Tigers vs Athletics Over/Under pick: Under 10.5 (+113)
Madden's .185 xBA should do the talking against an A's lineup that has scored four runs or fewer in six of their last seven.
It's difficult to forecast an explosive offensive performance from the Tigers given their recent struggles against southpaws. Detroit ranks bottom five in wOBA (.277) and wRC+ (74) against lefties in July.
While it may be easy to envision a game in West Sacramento featuring runs in bunches, the A's have actually cashed the Under in five consecutive home games.
- ML/RL bets: 27-29, -6.2 units
- Over/Under bets: 36-21, +13.6 units
Tigers vs Athletics weather
It will be hot and relatively humid, with light winds blowing toward center field.
Tigers vs Athletics odds
- Moneyline: Tigers -127 | Athletics +1122
- Run line: Tigers -1.5 (+113) | Athletics +1.5 (-117)
- Over/Under: Over 10.5 (-117) | Under 10.5 (+113)
Tigers vs Athletics trend
The A's have cashed the Under in five consecutive home games. Find more MLB betting trends for Tigers vs. Athletics.
How to watch Tigers vs Athletics and game info
| Location | Sutter Health Park, Sacramento, Calif. |
| Date | Friday, July 31, 2026 |
| First pitch | 9:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | DSN, NBC Sports California |
| Tigers starting pitcher | Ty Madden (0-0, 2.67 ERA) |
| Athletics starting pitcher | Jeffrey Springs (3-10, 6.23 ERA) |
Tigers vs Athletics latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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