MLB Spring Training Picks and Predictions for February 27

The Mariners moneyline tops Robert Criscola's MLB picks for today's batch of Spring Training tilts.

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst
Feb 27, 2026 • 10:28 ET • 4 min read
Seattle Mariners Luis Castillo MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Seattle Mariners pitcher Luis Castillo.

We have some rare Spring Training night games on the Friday slate, with the Nationals hosting the Astros, and the Mariners taking on the Diamondbacks.

But first up in my Spring Training predictions for February 27 is the Guardians-Cubs tilt.

Read on for my free MLB picks.

Spring Training predictions for February 27

Pick Odds
Guardians CLE moneyline +125
Nats WAS moneyline +100
Mariners SEA moneyline -165
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Pick #1: Guardians moneyline (+125)

The Chicago Cubs are 2-5 with a -16 run differential so far in Spring Training. Edward Cabrera makes his first appearance in a Chicago uni today, and he had a disastrous 24.55 ERA in exhibition play with Miami last year.

The Cleveland Guardians counter with Logan Allen, and he pitched a solid two shutout innings on Saturday, scattering a hit and a walk with two strikeouts.

This is nothing unusual for Allen, who owned a 1.88 ERA over 14 1/3 innings (six starts) in the Cactus League last year.

Pick #2: Nationals moneyline (+100)

I don't entirely trust Miles Mikolas in his new home with the Washington Nationals, but I absolutely do not trust the oft-injured Lance McCullers Jr. for the Houston Astros.

McCullers looked over the hill for Houston with a 6.51 ERA last season. He'll take on a Nationals team that's a decent 4-2 with a +7 run differential.

The Astros, meanwhile, are off to a terrible 1-4 start with a -9 run differential. They should not be favored on the road.

Pick #3: Mariners moneyline (-165)

The Seattle Mariners moneyline is a little steep, but not without good reason. Ryne Nelson authored a 9.26 ERA in Spring Training with the Arizona Diamondbacks last year, while Luis Castillo had a 3.31 ERA.

Castillo recorded three or more innings in four of five exhibition starts last year, so don't expect the token one-inning outing we're accustomed to seeing from so many top-notch starters as they prep for the regular season.

Castillo should get plenty of run support, with Seattle sporting a .928 OPS so far in Spring Training.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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