Start the week off right with my favorite MLB same-game parlay predictions for Monday's eight-game slate.
My top MLB picks begin with the Mets pulling off a road upset over the favored Braves (-132) and wrap up with the Dodgers pulling away from the Rockies in the nightcap.
Today's best MLB SGP picks
| Game | SGP Odds |
|---|---|
 NYM vs  ATL |
+410 |
 MIL vs  STL |
+410 |
 COL vs  LAD |
+315 |
Mets vs Braves SGP: New York upsets Atlanta
The Atlanta Braves have dropped to 29th in wOBA and 27th in xwOBA through 21 games without star Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), while the New York Mets comfortably sit 16th and eighth in the two metrics.
I also expect New York righty Freddy Peralta to pitch well. He’s held opposing hitters to the sixth-lowest barrel percentage among pitchers with at least 75 innings to pave the way for a respectable 3.78 xERA that’s way below his 4.81 ERA. Still, he’s failed to register 6+ strikeouts in seven of his past nine starts with a pedestrian 19.8 strikeout percentage.
The final leg of this SGP turns to Mets star Juan Soto, and with him ranking fourth in the majors in both wOBA and OPS against right-handed pitchers since the beginning of the 2024 campaign, I see value in the SGP down to +375.
- Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: BravesVsn, SNY
Brewers vs Cardinals SGP: Busch isn't light on runs tonight
The Milwaukee Brewers and St. Louis Cardinals rank first and third in xwOBA across the past 30 days while averaging 5.1 and 5.2 runs per game, so I’m anticipating both offenses putting runs on the board tonight.
Brewers lefty Shane Drohan has allowed an above-average .338 wOBA while pitching to a mediocre 4.09 ERA across 33 innings as a starter this season, and Cards righty Dustin May has surrendered a healthy 46.3% hard-hit rate, after all.
I recommend this SGP down to +390.
- Time: 7:45 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: CARD, BREW
Rockies vs Dodgers SGP: L.A. tees off on Freeland
There’s nothing pretty about Colorado Rockies starter Kyle Freeland’s underlying numbers, with his 18.5 blast-contact percentage and .394 wOBA allowed both sitting among the worst marks in baseball. Additionally, the Los Angeles Dodgers are fifth in wOBA against lefties this season and first in xwOBA across the past 30 days.
I also have confidence in L.A. lefty Eric Lauer. He’s limited opposing bats to a minuscule 25.3 squared-up contact percentage and 9.1 BlastCon% across five starts with the team, and the Rockies have the highest strikeout percentage against southpaws while also ranking below average in wOBA.
Dodgers outfielder Teoscar Hernández rounds out the SGP, and he’s recorded a rock-solid .268 batting average against lefties across the past three years. Hernandez is also ripe for a breakout game after going just 3-for-22 at the plate across six games since returning from a hamstring injury.
This SGP is in play down to +300.
- Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: SportsNet Los Angeles, COLR
- SGP picks: 11-28, +8.52 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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