Tuesday's MLB slate offers no shortage of player prop value, especially in the hits, runs, and RBI markets.
After digging through every matchup, we've identified three of our favorite MLB player props that stand out thanks to strong recent production, favorable splits, and exploitable pitching matchups.
Best MLB player props today
| Player | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
 Miguel Vargas |
Over 1.5 H/R/R | -129 |
 Griffin Conine |
Over 1.5 H/R/R | +114 |
 Hunter Goodman |
Over 1.5 H/R/R | -110 |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI (-129)
The White Sox lone All-Star finds himself in a great spot against Red Sox left-hander Payton Tolle. Miguel Vargas enters today with an elite rating on Batters-Box's current season dataset, covering nearly 91% of Tolle’s pitch mix.
On top of that, lefties have been his bread and butter this season. Over his last 60 at-bats against southpaws, Vargas is batting .306 with a .424 OBP and .571 SLG, while producing a 58.5% hard-hit rate and 17% barrel rate.
Tolle on the road against right-handed hitters has allowed them to elevate the hell out of the baseball. Over his last 60 batters faced, righties are elevating the ball 71.4% of the time, while producing a 45.7% hard hit rate, 14.3% barrel rate, .353 xBA, and .700 xSLG.
I would not take this prop any further than this. If Vargas’ bases get into the -130 range, that is where I would look to attack.
- Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: CHSN, NESN
Griffin Conine Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI (+114)
Never thought I would ever write about Mr. Marlin’s son, but here we are on July 7, 2026, taking Griffin Conine’s hits, runs, and RBI prop over 1.5.
The Marlins outfielder finds himself with an elite rating on Batters-Box, where he also owns nearly 84% arsenal coverage against Mariners right-hander Bryan Woo, who has been struggling against left-handed hitters.
On the road, Woo has allowed lefties to generate over 70% elevation and a 43%+ hard-hit rate. Over his last 60 left-handed hitters faced, they have not only elevated the ball over 67% of the time, but they are also posting a .412 xBA, .608 xSLG, and .368 xwOBA.
Conine, in his last 60 plate appearances against right-handed pitching, has been on a complete tear, generating a 51.6% hard-hit rate and 13.6% barrel rate while posting a .383 OBP and .873 OPS.
Getting an elite-rated bat at plus money to go over their HRR prop is tremendous value in my book. Take this down to even money if you must.
- Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: MIAM, SEAM
Hunter Goodman Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI (-110)
We are getting a steal on an elite-rated All-Star to go over 1.5 hits, runs, and RBI this evening. The people's catcher, Hunter Goodman, finds himself in another delectable matchup against Dodgers left-hander Justin Wrobleski, who has struggled to limit hard contact from right-handed bats all season.
Over his last 60 right-handed batters faced, opponents are producing a 55.2% hard-hit rate and a 12.8% barrel rate. During that stretch, they also own a .409 xBA, .594 xSLG, and .355 xwOBA.
When carrying an elite rating on Batters-Box this season, Goodman has cleared this prop 53.3% of the time, across a sample of 15 games.
Against left-handed pitching over his last 60 plate appearances, Goodman is slashing .333/.383/.630 while generating a 56% hard hit rate and a 20.6% barrel rate.
I would play this up to -120 if I had to, but at -110, this is a fantastic price in a matchup that checks all the boxes.
- Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: COLR, SNLA
- Prop picks: 272-514, -17.6 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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