It's another busy day in the Majors, and my MLB player props analysis is eyeing value both on the mound and at the dish.
I'll start things off with Dylan Cease, followed by Casey Mize and Jordan Walker.
Read more in my MLB picks for Saturday, August 22.
Best MLB player props today
| Player | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
 Dylan Cease |
Under 1.5 earned runs | +102 |
 Casey Mize |
Under 2.5 earned runs | -151 |
 Jordan Walker |
Over 1.5 total bases | +104 |
Dylan Cease Under 1.5 earned runs (+102)
The Toronto Blue Jays send their ace Dylan Cease to the hill today against the New York Yankees. While Cease has been a little bit more vulnerable lately, he still owns a stellar 1.81 xERA over the last month.
The right-hander has cashed the Under in earned runs allowed in three of his previous five appearances, and he'll face a Yankees lineup with a poor 78 wRC+ across their last six contests.
On top of that, Cease has dominated this lineup. Across a large sample size of 95 at-bats, New York is only hitting .168 against him.
I'll play this pick down to -120.
- Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: Sportsnet, YES
Casey Mize Under 2.5 earned runs (-151)
Casey Mize gets the ball tonight against the Minnesota Twins. The San Diego Padres right-hander has allowed Under 2.5 earned runs in two straight starts with his new team, and he has a 3.42 FIP during that span.
Mize rarely gives up a lot of runs. In fact, he's held opponents to two earned runs or fewer in four of his previous five outings. The veteran faces a Twins lineup that isn't in the greatest form, collecting a 91 wRC+ in the last week.
Mize will keep Minnesota at bay here.
Play this pick up to -160.
- Time: 8:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: Twins.TV, Padres.TV
Jordan Walker Over 1.5 total bases (+104)
Jordan Walker is one of the hottest hitters in baseball right now. He has smacked four homers in his last eight games and posted a ridiculous .471 ISO.
The St. Louis Cardinals slugger has cashed the Over in total bases in five of his last six games, and he finished with three hits in Friday's loss to the Philadelphia Phillies. Walker will face the vulnerable Andrew Painter tonight, who sports a 6.08 FIP over his previous two appearances.
Walker also has a 55.6% hard-hit rate and 22.2% barrel rate over the last week. He'll keep it rolling.
Play this pick down to -110.
- Time: 6:05 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: NBC Sports Philadelphia, Cardinals.TV
- Prop picks: 9-3, +6.02
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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