The weekend is here, and that means there’s plenty of baseball on deck.
My MLB player props for Saturday, May 30, home in on Michael Harris and Ian Happ, two of the hottest hitters in the majors, as well as Toronto Blue Jays starter Trey Yesavage.
Best MLB player props today
| Player | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
 Michael Harris II |
Over 2.5 HRRBI | +123 |
 Ian Happ |
Over 1.5 HRRBI | -111 |
 Trey Yesavage |
Over 6.5 strikeouts | -105 |
Michael Harris II Over 2.5 hits + runs + RBI (+123)
Michael Harris II has been on a tear over the past seven days, batting .400 with 10 hits and seven RBI in six outings. The Atlanta Braves center fielder has cashed in 3+ hits, runs, and RBIs in three of his last four games, and he’ll feast against the Cincinnati Reds tonight.
Brady Singer is off to a miserable start, with a 6.26 ERA and 1.70 WHIP, ranking in the fourth percentile in xBA (.298) and bottom 1% in pitching run value (-21).
Singer’s favorite pitch is his sinker, which he goes to nearly 46% of the time, but it’s been a stinker. Opposing teams are hitting .322 vs. that pitch, while Harris himself is batting .343 when he sees it.
Atlanta has scored 18 runs over its last two contests while averaging 5.29 runs per game this season, third-best in MLB. Harris will get on base plenty vs. the Reds, and his teammates will have no problem driving him home.
- Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: FOX
Ian Happ Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-111)
This prop feels like a steal at close to even money, and there’s even an argument to take a swing at Over 2.5 H+R+RBI for Ian Happ at +183.
The Chicago Cubs outfielder has been one of the deadliest sluggers in the majors this week 11 RBI in five games and a dinger in each of his last three outings. Happ has recorded 2+ hits, runs, and RBIs in four straight contests and will enjoy a favorable matchup tonight.
St. Louis Cardinals starter Kyle Leahy was crushed for seven hits, two homers, and five earned runs by the Reds last time out, and the right-hander has a subpar 4.44 ERA and 1.58 WHIP on the season.
The switch-hitting Happ has really enjoyed batting vs. righties this year. He owns a .923 OPS vs. right-handers and 24 of his 31 RBI have come against them.
Happ is crushing the four-seam fastball against righties for a .364 BABIP and 3.1 wRAA, and that happens to be Leahy’s most common pitch (31.7%).
- Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: FOX
Trey Yesavage Over 6.5 strikeouts (-105)
Trey Yesavage didn’t make his season debut until April 28, but the 22-year-old hasn’t missed a beat. He’s averaging 9.84 K/9 while sitting in the 88th percentile in Whiff% as well as the 81st percentile in K%.
The Toronto Blue Jays starter has recorded at least six punchouts in each of his last five starts, and eight Ks in his second-last appearance. He’s also seen his pitch count steadily increase, topping out at 98 on Monday, when he nearly pitched through the seventh inning. That’s a great sign for the Jays, and for those of us betting the Over.
Yesavage is known for his deadly splitter, which he goes to over 34% of the time. That pitch is getting whiffed 45% of the time, and it’s also a pitch the Baltimore Orioles have not seen much of this year.
Orioles batters have faced just 260 total splitters, the 12th-fewest among all clubs. They’re also swinging at splitters in the zone 80% of the time.
Yesavage’s unique release point, combined with Baltimore’s unfamiliarity, will add up to a lot of strikeouts this afternoon.
- Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: Sportsnet, MASN
- Prop picks: 0-2, -2 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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