The San Diego Padres and the Milwaukee Brewers will conclude their four-game set at American Family Field on Sunday afternoon.
The Padres have taken two of the first three games against the Brewers, winning via shutout on Friday and Saturday. Can Milwaukee get on the board and back into the win column? Find out in our free MLB betting picks and predictions for Padres vs Brewers on Sunday, June 5.
Padres vs Brewers odds
This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.
The Brewers opened as consensus favorites of -125, and have drifted up to about -130 at the majority of sportsbooks. The total was unveiled at 7.5 and has stayed idle.
Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until first pitch and be sure to check out the full MLB odds before placing your bets.
Padres vs Brewers predictions
Picks made on 6/5/2022 at 9:00 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Padres vs Brewers game info
• Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
• Date: Sunday, June 5, 2022
• First pitch: 2:10 p.m. ET
• TV: Bally Sports
Padres vs Brewers betting preview
Starting pitchers
Mike Clevinger (1-0, 3.21 ERA): Mike Clevinger put forth his best effort of 2022 — blanking the Phillies over five frames on May 17 — before hitting the shelf again with triceps inflammation. Though he only missed a couple of turns through the rotation, manager Bob Melvin will likely handle Clevinger with kid gloves in only his fourth start following Tommy John surgery.
Eric Lauer (5-1, 2.49 ERA): Eric Lauer authored a 2.16 ERA through his first seven starts of the year, but troubles with control (seven walks over his last nine innings) have seen him regress. Lauer allowed only one run in six innings of work in his lone start against the Padres last season.
Weather
Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.
Key injuries
Padres: Wil Myers LF (Out), Matt Beaty 1B (Out).
Brewers: Willy Adames SS (Probable), Hunter Renfroe RF (Probable), Luis Urias 2B (Questionable), Mike Brosseau 3B (Out), Omar Narvaez C (Out), Jake Cousins RP (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Over is 4-1 in the Brewers’ last five games against teams with winning records. Find more MLB betting trends for Padres vs Brewers. Find more MLB betting trends for Padres vs. Brewers
Padres vs Brewers picks and predictions
Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.
Moneyline analysis
The Brewers should salvage a series split when they host the Padres on Sunday afternoon.
Milwaukee’s bats are too good to be kept in check forever. They’re currently 12th in the majors in runs per game (4.42), and ninth in walks drawn (182). Rowdy Tellez — who has four hits and a pair of walks in this series already — paces the club in homers (10) and RBI (36), and should be at the forefront of the attack once more.
Mike Clevinger allowed five walks over his first two starts of the season before issuing no free passes against the swing-happy Phillies on May 17. He may not have his pinpoint control as he attempts to work his way back from another injury, so Clevinger could find himself in hot water early on here.
Meanwhile, Eric Lauer has made only three home starts for the Brewers, but has dominated proceedings in each of them, going 3-0 with a 0.90 ERA and a 21-2 strikeout/walk ratio. Milwaukee manager Craig Counsell has yet to use either Devin Williams or Josh Hader on the mound in this series, inspiring confidence that the Brewers will be able to protect a late lead with their best assets.
Trend bettors should note that the Padres are 17-35 in their last 52 games against teams with winning records, and 4-9 in their last 13 contests against Milwaukee. The Brewers are 14-6 in their last 20 home games, and 14-4 in their last 18 home games against right-handed starters.
Prediction: Brewers moneyline (-125 at WynnBET)
Over/Under analysis
We’re calling for the Brewers’ bats to get back on the beam in this one, while the Friars keep swinging — or not swinging — with success.
The Padres are third in walks drawn in the majors going into this tilt against Lauer. The southpaw had trouble finding the plate in his last two starts — both on the road — as he walked seven. The earlier Lauer leaves this game, the more exposure San Diego will have to the soft underbelly of the Brewers bullpen.
Trent Grisham has had a great eye for the Friars of late, taking seven free passes in his last seven games. He also appears to be hitting his way out of a massive slump to start the season, gathering back-to-back games with multiple hits in this series. The Padres still boast Manny Machado, and he’s off to a .294 start in June with a homer and four RBI.
Jace Peterson has joined Tellez as Brewers on a hot streak, as he’s batting .429 to begin the month of June. They and the rest of the Milwaukee offense should be unafraid of the Padres’ 14th-ranked bullpen (3.79 ERA), especially after getting to closer Taylor Rogers, who blew on his third save of the season on Thursday.
The trends suggest this game will exceed the total, as the Over is 3-1-1 in the Padres’ last five road games against left-handed starters, and 6-2 in the Brewers’ last eight overall. The Over is also 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Milwaukee between these two teams.
Prediction: Over 7.5 (-108 at Unibet)
Best bet
One of baseball’s best road offenses meets one of the game’s best home lineups in this one, making the Over a fairly easy call.
The Padres are fifth in runs scored in away games in 2022 (4.97), while the Brewers are seventh at scoring runs in their own ballpark (4.83), even after being shut out on two straight occasions.
San Diego seems to find a new hero every game, and on Saturday it was Jake Cronenworth, who drove in three runs in the 4-0 victory. The Brewers’ Sunday lineup could get a boost with the potential return of both Willy Adames and Hunter Renfroe from the IL.
Pick: Over 7.5 (-108 at Unibet)
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