2022 MLB Win Total Odds: Dodgers On Top, Jays Projected Class of the AL

After posting 106 wins last year, the Dodgers are projected for just 98.5 victories in 2022. That number, however, is still the highest projected MLB wins total in the league, while the surging Toronto Blue Jays are expected to be the best team in the AL.

Last Updated: Apr 6, 2022 2:32 PM ET Read Time: 6 min
Mookie Betts Freddie Freeman Los Angeles Dodgers MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The new MLB season starts Thursday with a full 162-game season on tap again (despite looking like a shaky proposition not too long ago). 

That means that MLB win total odds — which focuses only on the regular season, unlike World Series odds — will again be a number that baseball bettors will be accustomed to seeing. We've also put together our favorite MLB win total picks and MLB win total picks using THE BAT X for the upcoming season.

With a wild (and truncated) free agency changing the baseball landscape again — new teams leaping into contender status, some teams staying quiet, and the Dodgers being the Dodgers — let's take a look at the current MLB wins total projections for all 30 teams for the 2022 season.

2022 National League win total odds

Team Total Over Under
Arizona Diamondbacks 67.5 -105 -115
Atlanta Braves 90.5 -105 -115
Chicago Cubs 75.5 -110 -110
Cincinnati Reds 74.5 -105 -115
Colorado Rockies 68.5 -110 -110
Los Angeles Dodgers 98.5 -105 -115
Miami Marlins 76.5 -110 -110
Milwaukee Brewers 89.5 -115 -105
New York Mets 88.5 -115 -105
Philadelphia Phillies 86.5 -115 -105
Pittsburgh Pirates 65.5 -105 -115
San Diego Padres 88.5 -105 -115
San Francisco Giants 85.5 -115 -105
St. Louis Cardinals 84.5 -110 -110
Washington Nationals 71.5 -105 -115

Odds courtesy of DraftKings as of March 30, 2022.

NL win total breakdown

Leading the NL (and MLB) win total projections in 2022 are the Los Angeles Dodgers (*shocker*) at 98.5 wins. After having 102.5 projected wins for 2021, the Dodgers finished with 106 regular-season victories last year — this year's number is quite the dropoff, considering they added superstar Freddie Freeman to an already-potent lineup, although Los Angeles did lose shortstop Corey Seager to free agency and there is plenty of uncertainty around if (or when) pitcher Trevor Bauer will return.

After the Dodgers, the defending World Series champion Atlanta Braves represent the only other team projected to eclipse 90 wins at 90.5. They stay in the hunt despite losing Freeman — they replaced him with Matt Olson — and also expect megastar Ronald Acuna Jr. back in May after he missed half the season with a torn ACL. The Mets were projected to be up there, but their expected win total dropped to 88.5 in the wake of Jacob deGrom's shoulder injury.

The Dodgers and Braves have the highest expectations in the Senior Circuit this year but bringing up the rear are the Pittsburgh Pirates (61 wins last year, 65.5 O/U in 2022), Arizona Diamondbacks (52 wins last year, 67.5 O/U in 2022), and Colorado Rockies (74 wins last year, 68.5 O/U in 2022), all of which are projected to finish with fewer than 70 wins.

2022 American League win total odds

Team Total Over Under
Baltimore Orioles 62.5 -105 -115
Boston Red Sox 85.5 -115 -105
Chicago White Sox 91.5 -105 -115
Cleveland Guardians 76.5 -110 -110
Detroit Tigers 77.5 -115 -105
Houston Astros 91.5 -110 -110
Kansas City Royals 74.5 -115 -105
Los Angeles Angels 83.5 -115 -105
Minnesota Twins 81.5 -110 -110
New York Yankees 91.5 -110 -110
Oakland Athletics 68.5 -110 -110
Seattle Mariners 83.5 -115 -105
Tampa Bay Rays 89.5 -105 -115
Texas Rangers 74.5 -105 -115
Toronto Blue Jays 92.5 -105 -115

Odds courtesy of DraftKings as of April 6, 2022.

AL win total breakdown

While nobody in the American League is projected for as many wins as the Dodgers, it's the Blue Jays who are forecasted to be the class of the Junior Circuit this season with a win total Over/Under of 92.5. The Jays were arguably the biggest breakout team last in 2021, finishing with 91 regular-season victories, and despite seeing Cy Young winner Robbie Ray and MVP candidate Marcus Semien leave via free agency, Toronto is expected to do even better in 2022 with the additions of Kevin Gausman and Yusei Kikuchi (and a full season of Jose Berrios) to the pitching staff and the acquisition of elite defensive third baseman Matt Chapman — who join the lethal core or Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette, Teoscar Hernandez, and (a presumably healthy) George Springer.

The Jays won't be without stiff competition, however, as three teams — the Houston Astros, Chicago White Sox, and division-rival New York Yankees — are right on their heels at 91.5 projected wins. However, the Yankees were rather quiet in the offseason (with the acquisition of veteran Josh Donaldson and utility infield Isaiah Kiner-Falefa the only additions of note and Gary Sanchez, Gio Urshela, and Luke Voit departing the Bronx), the Astros lost Carlos Correa... and replaced him with Niko Goodrum (and maybe rookie Jeremy Pena), while Chicago's only major additions were AJ Pollock and Josh Harrison  — but it also boasts an impressive young core with Eloy Jimenez (who missed almost all of 2021 with injury), Luis Robert, and Yoan Moncada, plus a deep and talented pitching staff led by Lucas Giolito, Lance Lynn, and Dylan Cease.

With the AL East again looking dangerous (the Tampa Bay Rays and Boston Red Sox are projected for 89.5 and 85.5 wins, respectively), it's no surprise that the Baltimore Orioles have the lowest projected win total in the Majors at 62.5 (after just 52 wins last season). TheOakland A's are the only other team projected to win fewer than 70 games at 68.5 after a massive offseason sell-off (following an 86-win season), while the Kansas City Royals (74 wins in 2021) and Texas Rangers (60 wins in 2021) are also near the bottom at 74.5 projected Ws in 2022. 

How to bet MLB season win totals

Season win totals are pretty straightforward: you're betting on how many wins a team will have that regular season.

Oddsmakers set a projected number of wins for each team — based on past success, returning personnel, and strength of schedule — and offer Over/Under betting options, allowing you to wager on if a team will exceed that win total (Over) or fall short of it (Under). This total does not include postseason games.

On top of the season win total itself, oddsmakers set an assigned cost to the Over and Under bets — also known as vig or juice — depending on the implied probability of the team winning more or less than that total.

For example, the Blue Jays are projected to win 92.5 games but oddsmakers felt like there was a better chance of them fewer than 91 games instead of winning 93+ games. Therefore, they set the Jays with a win total of 92.5 but increased the vig on the UNDER to -115 (bet $115 to win $100) and decreased the vig on the OVER to -105 (bet $105 to win $100).

  • OVER 92.5 WINS (-105)
  • UNDER 92.5 WINS (-115)

Season win totals are considered futures betting odds and sportsbooks will take action on season win totals from the time they post the odds until the start of the season. Futures bets are then graded at the end of the season when all results are final.

MLB Win Total FAQ

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