The New York Mets head to Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds and rising star Chase Burns for the series opener of their three-game set on Monday, June 15.
My top Mets vs. Reds predictions and MLB picks are calling for Burns to lead the way for a Cincinnati win in Game 1.
Who will win Mets vs Reds today: Reds moneyline (-140)
There’s a sizable pitching edge for the Cincinnati Reds on Monday, with Chase Burns establishing himself as an elite righty and sporting a tidy 2.95 xERA and 3.21 xFIP across 13 starts.
He’s held opposing hitters to the fifth-lowest squared up swing rate among qualified starting pitchers, and the New York Mets rank 28th in wOBA against righties for the season.
Of course, New York is sending Tobias Myers to the bump for just his third start of the year after primarily working as a reliever, so the Mets are going to be relying on a bullpen that’s already been tasked with 58 1/3 innings over the past six days.
This Cincinnati moneyline is in play down to -145.
COVERS INTEL: Cincinnati Reds starter Chase Burns ranks in the 95th percentile of whiff rate, and I’m anticipating the go-to righty to lead the way to both the Cincy moneyline and the Under tonight.
Mets vs Reds Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (-120)
Pair the Mets set to struggle against Burns with the Cincy offense on the skids without star Elly De La Cruz (hamstring) since June 1, and this game has Under written all over it.
The Reds rank 26th in wOBA while scoring just 3.1 runs per game with De La Cruz out of the lineup, after all.
Additionally, while the New York bullpen has been busy, it has been a rare bright spot for the club. The Mets rank fourth in reliever ERA and seventh in xFIP. I recommend this Under down to -125.
- ML/RL bets: 27-14, +14.77 units
- Over/Under bets: 14-12, +1.05 units
Mets vs Reds odds
- Moneyline: Mets +120 | Reds -140
- Run line: Mets +1.5 (-170) | Reds -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under: Over 8 (-110) | Under 8 (-110)
Mets vs Reds trend
The Mets have only won 19 of their last 50 road games for -16.65 units and a -28% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for Mets vs. Reds.
How to watch Mets vs Reds and game info
| Location | Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH |
| Date | Monday, June 15, 2026 |
| First pitch | 7:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | SNY, Reds.TV |
| Mets starting pitcher | Tobias Myers (0-1, 4.05 ERA) |
| Reds starting pitcher | Chase Burns (7-1, 2.14 ERA) |
Mets vs Reds latest injuries
Mets vs Reds weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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