The New York Mets won the series opener in dramatic fashion, hitting a walkoff home run in the bottom of the 10th inning.
My Marlins vs. Mets predictions expect the home side to pick up its third straight win Saturday afternoon.
Let's take a closer look at my MLB picks for May 30.
Who will win Marlins vs Mets today: New York Mets (-135)
Neither offense is above average at generating runs so I’m looking towards pitching to find my edge.
The New York Mets have the advantage with Christian Scott taking the bump. He owns a 2.8 FIP and 3.0 ERA over the past month despite a .328 batting average on balls put in play, which should drop moving forward.
His stuff has been excellent, allowing him to sit down 27.9% of opposing batters by strikeout.
Tyler Phillips’ xERA is more than two runs higher than his ERA, suggesting regression could be coming. Back the Mets to -145.
COVERS INTEL: Christian Scott ranks in the 98th percentile with a 1.5% barrel rate, allowing him to neutralize power effectively.
Marlins vs Mets Over/Under pick: Under 7.0 (-105)
The easiest way to score runs is with power and both teams are lacking.
The Miami Marlins are tied for 27th in home runs and the numbers under the hood don’t provide any reason for optimism. The Marlins have posted an ISO of .117 against right-handed pitching this month, ranking them 29th in the majors.
While the Mets have fared a little better, it’s still not pretty. They sit tied for 21st in homers, 30th in SLG, and 30th in OPS.
There is very little juice in their offense, even with Juan Soto lighting it right now. Play to -115.
- ML/RL bets: 20-16, -1.08 units
- Over/Under bets: 17-18-1, -3.61units
Marlins vs Mets odds
- Moneyline: Marlins +115 | Mets -135
- Run line: Marlins +1.5 (-190) | Mets -1.5 (+160)
- Over/Under: Over 7.5 (+110) | Under 7.5 (-130)
Marlins vs Mets trend
New York has hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 45 games (+18.15 units, 36% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Marlins vs. Mets.
How to watch Marlins vs Mets and game info
| Location | Citi Field, Flushing, NY |
| Date | Saturday, May 30, 2026 |
| First pitch | 4:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | Marlins.TV, SNY |
| Marlins starting pitcher | Tyler Phillips (0-0, 1.07 ERA) |
| Mets starting pitcher | Christian Scott (0-0, 3.20 ERA) |
Marlins vs Mets latest injuries
Marlins vs Mets weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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