Mariners vs Padres Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Ed Scimia - Contributor at Covers.com
Ed Scimia • Betting Analyst 17+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 14, 2026 , 05:35 PM ET • 4 min read

With the advantage on the mound, the Mariners have the pitching firepower to Woo their way to a victory.

MLB

Match starts: 2 hrs
SEA
45 %
SD
55 %
Read Analysis
Bryan Woo Seattle Mariners NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Seattle Mariners pitcher Bryan Woo (22) throws in the fifth inning.

Two teams riding long winning streaks will look to stay hot this week as the San Diego Padres host the Seattle Mariners in the first of a three-game series tonight.

Seattle has the pitching edge in tonight’s game, and that’s enough for me to pick it to win in my Mariners vs. Padres predictions below.

Read on for my full analysis of this matchup and to get my free MLB picks for Tuesday, April 14.

Who will win Mariners vs Padres today: Mariners moneyline (-114)

Both teams come into tonight’s game following four-game sweeps over the weekend. The San Diego Padres are the hotter of the two, having now won eight of their last nine overall. But there’s no denying that the Seattle Mariners have the pitching edge tonight.

Bryan Woo has a 2.84 ERA since the start of the 2024 season, which a minuscule WHIP of 0.908 in that span. He’s struck out 17 batters while allowing just three earned runs on 10 hits over his first 18 innings of work this season.

As good as Michael King (1-1, 3.24 ERA) has been for the Padres, I like the Mariners to win behind Woo.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Bryan Woo has been historically dominant early in the season, holding opponents to a .523 OPS in March and April throughout his career.

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Mariners vs Padres Over/Under pick: Over 7.0

The Mariners and Padres each saw their offenses wake up over the weekend. Seattle averaged 7.25 runs per game in their four-game sweep of the Houston Astros, while the Padres put up an average of 7.00 runs in their sweep of the Colorado Rockies.

None of that changes the fact that there’s a strong pitching matchup on tap tonight, but this total won’t be easy to get Under. In particular, San Diego comes in having played to a total of 7+ runs in six straight games. With both lineups coming into tonight’s game hitting well, I’m taking the Over.

Scimia's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 3-3, -0.03 units
  • Over/Under bets: 1-3, -1.96 units

Mariners vs Padres odds

  • Moneyline: Seattle -120 | San Diego +100
  • Run line: Seattle -1.5 (+145) | San Diego +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under: Over 7 | Under 7

Mariners vs Padres trend

The Mariners are 6-1 straight up in their last seven meetings with the Padres. Find more MLB betting trends for Mariners vs. Padres.

How to watch Mariners vs Padres and game info

Location Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Date Tuesday, April 14, 2026
First pitch 9:40 p.m. ET
TV Mariners.TV, Padres.TV
Mariners starting pitcher Bryan Woo
(0-1, 1.50 ERA)
Padres starting pitcher Michael King
(1-1, 3.24 ERA)

Mariners vs Padres latest injuries

Mariners vs Padres weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Ed Scimia - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Ed Scimia has been writing about the gaming industry for over 15 years. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in Magazine Journalism and Political Science in 2003, and has covered major gambling events like the World Series of Poker in his career. Since joining Covers in 2022, Ed has offered his sports betting analysis primarily on MLB, NFL, college football, and college basketball games, but is willing to take on any sport.

His betting strategy focuses more on finding line value based on deviations from the market rather than traditional handicapping, primarily shopping between DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics in his home state of Connecticut, though he’s not afraid to do deep game analysis to find profitable bets at any book.

Outside of gambling, Ed is an avid curler who competes in mixed doubles on the World Curling Tour and runs a popular curling YouTube channel, Chess on Ice. That experience has come in handy during the Olympics, when he has proven to be a successful curling bettor as well. 

Ed's advice to new bettors is to always open multiple sportsbook accounts and check the odds at each before placing any bet. Successful sports betting is about consistently beating the closing line value, which requires finding spots where one book is offering odds far better than the rest of the market and jumping on those opportunities.

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