The weekend has finally arrived! Let's get the night rolling by backing some guys to go yard!
These are my top looks to leave the yard, featuring Alec Burleson and Tyler Soderstrom in these MLB player props.
Here are my favorite MLB picks & home run predictions for Friday, July 24.
- UPDATE: Added another HR pick + parlay.
Best MLB home run props today
| Player to hit a HR | Odds |
|---|---|
 Alec Burleson |
+434 |
 Tyler Soderstrom |
+362 |
 Bryce Eldridge |
+392 |
| 💲Today's HR parlay | +12038 |
Home run pick: Alec Burleson (+434)
It is time to back the burly boy from St. Louis, Mr. Alec Burleson!
Entering Friday, the St. Louis Cardinals slugger carries an elite rating on Batters-Box while also covering 100% of Cincinnati Reds right-hander Rhett Lowder's pitch mix.
The big fella has been seeing the ball extremely well against right-handed pitching, posting a .308 BA, .343 wOBA, 45.5% hard hit rate, and 18.2% barrel rate over his last 30 plate appearances.
Lowder, meanwhile, has been getting crushed by left-handed hitters, especially on the road. Lefties are batting .350 against him with a .583 SLG and .444 wOBA, while producing a 41.2% hard hit rate and 68.6% elevation rate.
With Burleson being one of the hottest hitters in the Cardinals lineup over the last week, I love this spot for him to do damage against Lowder.
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: CARD, CINR
Home run pick: Tyler Soderstrom (+362)
One of my all-time favorite pitchers to fade is Minnesota Twins right-hander Zebby Matthews. Why? Well, he is always getting crushed.
Over his last three starts, Matthews owns a 10.54 ERA and 2.19 WHIP while allowing a 42.55% hard hit rate and 12.77% barrel rate. That is why I want to target one of the hottest bats in the Athletics lineup this evening.
Tyler Soderstrom stood out the most to me, as he is batting .346 with a .731 SLG and 1.164 OPS over his last 30 plate appearances against right-handed pitching. He also covers 99.2% of Matthews' pitch mix.
Matthews has struggled against left-handed hitters all season, with the last 60 he has faced posting a .438 xBA, .848 xSLG, and .399 xwOBA.
With how well Soderstrom has been seeing the ball and how poorly Matthews has been pitching, this is a great spot to back the Athletics slugger to go yard in Minnesota this evening.
- Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: NBCSCA, MNNT
Home run pick: Bryce Eldridge (+392)
San Francisco Giants young slugger Bryce Eldridge finds himself in a prime spot against Los Angeles Angels right hander Grayson Rodriguez, who has struggled mightily this season. The Angels starter enters with an 8.49 ERA, 1.80 WHIP, while allowing nearly 50% hard contact and a 9.17% barrel rate to opposing hitters.
Eldridge enters Friday with an elite rating on Batters-Box, along with 84.2% arsenal coverage against every pitch in Rodriguez's mix. He has also been seeing the ball extremely well against right-handed pitching over his last 30 plate appearances, posting a .500 SLG, .867 OPS, .381 wOBA, and .231 ISO while producing a 62.5% hard hit rate and 12.5% barrel rate.
Against his last 60 left-handed hitters faced, Rodriguez has allowed a 61.7% hard hit rate and 70.6% elevation rate, with hitters posting a .382 xBA, .643 xSLG, and .296 ISO.
Everything points toward a big opportunity for Eldridge, and I think he is in a great spot to collect extra bases this evening.
- Time: 10:15 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: NBCSBA, ABTV
- HR picks: 86-302, +7.96 units
Today’s HR parlay
| Alec Burleson |
Bet Now +12038 |
| Tyler Soderstrom |
|
| Bryce Eldridge |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
